气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Monitoring the COVID-19 epidemic with nationwide telecommunication data

CCPortal

DOI	10.1073/pnas.2100664118
	Monitoring the COVID-19 epidemic with nationwide telecommunication data
	Persson J.; Parie J.F.; Feuerriegel S.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0027-8424
卷号	118 期号:26
英文摘要	In response to the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19), governments have introduced severe policy measures with substantial effects on human behavior. Here, we perform a large-scale, spatiotemporal analysis of human mobility during the COVID-19 epidemic. We derive human mobility from anonymized, aggregated telecommunication data in a nationwide setting (Switzerland; 10 February to 26 April 2020), consisting of ∼1.5 billion trips. In comparison to the same time period from 2019, human movement in Switzerland dropped by 49.1%. The strongest reduction is linked to bans on gatherings of more than five people, which are estimated to have decreased mobility by 24.9%, followed by venue closures (stores, restaurants, and bars) and school closures. As such, human mobility at a given day predicts reported cases 7 to 13 d ahead. A 1% reduction in human mobility predicts a 0.88 to 1.11% reduction in daily reported COVID-19 cases. When managing epidemics, monitoring human mobility via telecommunication data can support public decision makers in two ways. First, it helps in assessing policy impact; second, it provides a scalable tool for near real-time epidemic surveillance, thereby enabling evidence-based policies. © 2021 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
英文关键词	Bayesian modeling; COVID-19; Epidemiology; Human mobility; Telecommunication data
语种	英语
scopus关键词	epidemiology; health care policy; health survey; human; public health; Switzerland; telecommunication; travel; COVID-19; Health Policy; Humans; Population Surveillance; Public Health; SARS-CoV-2; Switzerland; Telecommunications; Travel
来源期刊	Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/238879
作者单位	Department of Management, Technology, and Economics, ETH Zurich (Swiss Federal Institute of Technology), Zurich, 8092, Switzerland
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Persson J.,Parie J.F.,Feuerriegel S.. Monitoring the COVID-19 epidemic with nationwide telecommunication data[J],2021,118(26).
APA	Persson J.,Parie J.F.,&Feuerriegel S..(2021).Monitoring the COVID-19 epidemic with nationwide telecommunication data.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,118(26).
MLA	Persson J.,et al."Monitoring the COVID-19 epidemic with nationwide telecommunication data".Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 118.26(2021).