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DOI10.1038/s41558-021-01037-2
Quantifying global potential for coral evolutionary response to climate change
Logan C.A.; Dunne J.P.; Ryan J.S.; Baskett M.L.; Donner S.D.
发表日期2021
ISSN1758-678X
起始页码537
结束页码542
卷号11期号:6
英文摘要Incorporating species’ ability to adaptively respond to climate change is critical for robustly predicting persistence. One such example could be the adaptive role of algal symbionts in setting coral thermal tolerance under global warming and ocean acidification. Using a global ecological and evolutionary model of competing branching and mounding coral morphotypes, we show symbiont shuffling (towards taxa with increased heat tolerance) was more effective than symbiont evolution in delaying coral-cover declines, but stronger warming rates (high emissions scenarios) outpace the ability of these adaptive processes and limit coral persistence. Acidification has a small impact on reef degradation rates relative to warming. Global patterns in coral reef vulnerability to climate are sensitive to the interaction of warming rate and adaptive capacity and cannot be predicted by either factor alone. Overall, our results show how models of spatially resolved adaptive mechanisms can inform conservation decisions. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
来源期刊Nature Climate Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/237306
作者单位Department of Marine Science, California State University, Monterey Bay, Seaside, CA, United States; NOAA/OAR Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States; Department of Environmental Science and Policy, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States; Department of Geography, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada
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Logan C.A.,Dunne J.P.,Ryan J.S.,et al. Quantifying global potential for coral evolutionary response to climate change[J],2021,11(6).
APA Logan C.A.,Dunne J.P.,Ryan J.S.,Baskett M.L.,&Donner S.D..(2021).Quantifying global potential for coral evolutionary response to climate change.Nature Climate Change,11(6).
MLA Logan C.A.,et al."Quantifying global potential for coral evolutionary response to climate change".Nature Climate Change 11.6(2021).
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