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DOI | 10.1038/s41558-021-01037-2 |
Quantifying global potential for coral evolutionary response to climate change | |
Logan C.A.; Dunne J.P.; Ryan J.S.; Baskett M.L.; Donner S.D. | |
发表日期 | 2021 |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
起始页码 | 537 |
结束页码 | 542 |
卷号 | 11期号:6 |
英文摘要 | Incorporating species’ ability to adaptively respond to climate change is critical for robustly predicting persistence. One such example could be the adaptive role of algal symbionts in setting coral thermal tolerance under global warming and ocean acidification. Using a global ecological and evolutionary model of competing branching and mounding coral morphotypes, we show symbiont shuffling (towards taxa with increased heat tolerance) was more effective than symbiont evolution in delaying coral-cover declines, but stronger warming rates (high emissions scenarios) outpace the ability of these adaptive processes and limit coral persistence. Acidification has a small impact on reef degradation rates relative to warming. Global patterns in coral reef vulnerability to climate are sensitive to the interaction of warming rate and adaptive capacity and cannot be predicted by either factor alone. Overall, our results show how models of spatially resolved adaptive mechanisms can inform conservation decisions. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited. |
来源期刊 | Nature Climate Change |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/237306 |
作者单位 | Department of Marine Science, California State University, Monterey Bay, Seaside, CA, United States; NOAA/OAR Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States; Department of Environmental Science and Policy, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States; Department of Geography, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Logan C.A.,Dunne J.P.,Ryan J.S.,et al. Quantifying global potential for coral evolutionary response to climate change[J],2021,11(6). |
APA | Logan C.A.,Dunne J.P.,Ryan J.S.,Baskett M.L.,&Donner S.D..(2021).Quantifying global potential for coral evolutionary response to climate change.Nature Climate Change,11(6). |
MLA | Logan C.A.,et al."Quantifying global potential for coral evolutionary response to climate change".Nature Climate Change 11.6(2021). |
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