气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Rapid increases and extreme months in projections of United States high-tide flooding

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DOI	10.1038/s41558-021-01077-8
	Rapid increases and extreme months in projections of United States high-tide flooding
	Thompson P.R.; Widlansky M.J.; Hamlington B.D.; Merrifield M.A.; Marra J.J.; Mitchum G.T.; Sweet W.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	1758-678X
起始页码	584
结束页码	590
卷号	11 期号:7
英文摘要	Coastal locations around the United States, particularly along the Atlantic coast, are experiencing recurrent flooding at high tide. Continued sea-level rise (SLR) will exacerbate the issue where present, and many more locations will begin to experience recurrent high-tide flooding (HTF) in the coming decades. Here we use established SLR scenarios and flooding thresholds to demonstrate how the combined effects of SLR and nodal cycle modulations of tidal amplitude lead to acute inflections in projections of future HTF. The mid-2030s, in particular, may see the onset of rapid increases in the frequency of HTF in multiple US coastal regions. We also show how annual cycles and sea-level anomalies lead to extreme seasons or months during which many days of HTF cluster together. Clustering can lead to critical frequencies of HTF occurring during monthly or seasonal periods one to two decades prior to being expected on an annual basis. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/237292
作者单位	Department of Oceanography, University of Hawai‘i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI, United States; Joint Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, University of Hawai‘i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI, United States; NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States; Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States; Inouye Regional Center, NOAA/NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information, Honolulu, HI, United States; College of Marine Science, University of South Florida, St. Petersburg, FL, United States; NOAA/National Ocean Service, Silver Spring, MD, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Thompson P.R.,Widlansky M.J.,Hamlington B.D.,et al. Rapid increases and extreme months in projections of United States high-tide flooding[J],2021,11(7).
APA	Thompson P.R..,Widlansky M.J..,Hamlington B.D..,Merrifield M.A..,Marra J.J..,...&Sweet W..(2021).Rapid increases and extreme months in projections of United States high-tide flooding.Nature Climate Change,11(7).
MLA	Thompson P.R.,et al."Rapid increases and extreme months in projections of United States high-tide flooding".Nature Climate Change 11.7(2021).