气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Plant pathogen infection risk tracks global crop yields under climate change

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DOI	10.1038/s41558-021-01104-8
	Plant pathogen infection risk tracks global crop yields under climate change
	Chaloner T.M.; Gurr S.J.; Bebber D.P.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	1758-678X
起始页码	710
结束页码	715
卷号	11 期号:8
英文摘要	Global food security is strongly determined by crop production. Climate change-induced losses to production can occur directly or indirectly, including via the distributions and impacts of plant pathogens. However, the likely changes in pathogen pressure in relation to global crop production are poorly understood. Here we show that temperature-dependent infection risk, r(T), for 80 fungal and oomycete crop pathogens will track projected yield changes in 12 crops over the twenty-first century. For most crops, both yields and r(T) are likely to increase at high latitudes. In contrast, the tropics will see little or no productivity gains, and r(T) is likely to decline. In addition, the United States, Europe and China may experience major changes in pathogen assemblages. The benefits of yield gains may therefore be tempered by the greater burden of crop protection due to increased disease and unfamiliar pathogens. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/237271
作者单位	Department of Biosciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom; Department of Biology, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Chaloner T.M.,Gurr S.J.,Bebber D.P.. Plant pathogen infection risk tracks global crop yields under climate change[J],2021,11(8).
APA	Chaloner T.M.,Gurr S.J.,&Bebber D.P..(2021).Plant pathogen infection risk tracks global crop yields under climate change.Nature Climate Change,11(8).
MLA	Chaloner T.M.,et al."Plant pathogen infection risk tracks global crop yields under climate change".Nature Climate Change 11.8(2021).