气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Extreme sea levels at different global warming levels

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DOI	10.1038/s41558-021-01127-1
	Extreme sea levels at different global warming levels
	Tebaldi C.; Ranasinghe R.; Vousdoukas M.; Rasmussen D.J.; Vega-Westhoff B.; Kirezci E.; Kopp R.E.; Sriver R.; Mentaschi L.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	1758-678X
起始页码	746
结束页码	751
卷号	11 期号:9
英文摘要	The Paris agreement focused global climate mitigation policy on limiting global warming to 1.5 or 2 °C above pre-industrial levels. Consequently, projections of hazards and risk are increasingly framed in terms of global warming levels rather than emission scenarios. Here, we use a multimethod approach to describe changes in extreme sea levels driven by changes in mean sea level associated with a wide range of global warming levels, from 1.5 to 5 °C, and for a large number of locations, providing uniform coverage over most of the world’s coastlines. We estimate that by 2100 ~50% of the 7,000+ locations considered will experience the present-day 100-yr extreme-sea-level event at least once a year, even under 1.5 °C of warming, and often well before the end of the century. The tropics appear more sensitive than the Northern high latitudes, where some locations do not see this frequency change even for the highest global warming levels. © 2021, The Author(s).
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/237242
作者单位	Joint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, MD, United States; Department of Coastal and Urban Risk & Resilience, IHE Delft institute for Water Education, Delft, Netherlands; Harbour, Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Deltares, Delft, Netherlands; Water Engineering and Management, Faculty of Engineering Technology, University of Twente, Enschede, Netherlands; European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Ispra, Italy; Princeton School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, IL, United States; Department of Infrastructure Engineering, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Rutgers Institute of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences and Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, United States; Department of Physics and Astronomy Augusto Righi, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Tebaldi C.,Ranasinghe R.,Vousdoukas M.,et al. Extreme sea levels at different global warming levels[J],2021,11(9).
APA	Tebaldi C..,Ranasinghe R..,Vousdoukas M..,Rasmussen D.J..,Vega-Westhoff B..,...&Mentaschi L..(2021).Extreme sea levels at different global warming levels.Nature Climate Change,11(9).
MLA	Tebaldi C.,et al."Extreme sea levels at different global warming levels".Nature Climate Change 11.9(2021).