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DOI10.1038/s41558-021-01166-8
Counterbalancing influences of aerosols and greenhouse gases on atmospheric rivers
Baek S.H.; Lora J.M.
发表日期2021
ISSN1758-678X
起始页码958
结束页码965
卷号11期号:11
英文摘要Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are filamentary conduits of intense water vapour transport in the extratropics, accounting for the majority of poleward moisture transport in the mid-latitudes and acting as a key precipitation source for coastal regions. How ARs have responded to climate change nevertheless remains uncertain. Here we use a series of coupled model experiments to show that there was little to no change in mean AR characteristics in 1920–2005 due to opposite but equal influences from industrial aerosols, which weaken ARs, and greenhouse gases (GHGs), which strengthen them. Despite little historical change, the simulations project steep intensification of ARs in the coming decades, including mean AR-driven precipitation increases of up to ~20 mm per month, as the influence of GHGs greatly outpaces that of industrial aerosols. We also investigate the extent to which future AR changes are dynamically and thermodynamically driven, highlighting the need to conceptualize AR change beyond the scaling of humidity with warming. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
来源期刊Nature Climate Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/237202
作者单位Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States
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Baek S.H.,Lora J.M.. Counterbalancing influences of aerosols and greenhouse gases on atmospheric rivers[J],2021,11(11).
APA Baek S.H.,&Lora J.M..(2021).Counterbalancing influences of aerosols and greenhouse gases on atmospheric rivers.Nature Climate Change,11(11).
MLA Baek S.H.,et al."Counterbalancing influences of aerosols and greenhouse gases on atmospheric rivers".Nature Climate Change 11.11(2021).
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