气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Heatwave intensity on the Iberian Peninsula: Future climate projections

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DOI	10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105655
	Heatwave intensity on the Iberian Peninsula: Future climate projections
	Lorenzo N.; Díaz-Poso A.; Royé D.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0169-8095
卷号	258
英文摘要	Heatwaves are the most relevant extreme climatic events, particularly in the context of global warming and the related increasing impacts on society and the natural environment. This work presents an analysis of climate change scenarios with simulations from the EURO-CORDEX project using the excess heat factor over the Iberian Peninsula. We focus on climate change projections of the heatwave intensity and spatial distribution, which are evaluated for the near future (2021–2050) relative to a reference past climate (1971–2000). Heatwave projections show a general significant increase in intensity, frequency, duration and spatial extent for the whole region. The average change in heatwave intensity is 104% for the whole Iberian Peninsula for the near future 2021–2050. The largest changes occur in the eastern-central region, rising to 150% for the Mediterranean coast and the Pyrenees. The greater spatial extent of heatwaves strongly suggests increased human exposure, increased energy demand, and implications for fire risk. This spatial trend is predicted to continue in the near future with increases in the maximum spatial heatwave extent ranging from 6% to 8% per decade. © 2021 Elsevier B.V.
英文关键词	Climate change; Heatwave; Iberian Peninsula; Intensity; Spatial extent
来源期刊	Atmospheric Research
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/236725
作者单位	Environmental Physics Laboratory (EphysLab), CIM-UVIGO, Universidade de Vigo, Edificio Campus da Auga, Ourense, 32004, Spain; Department of Geography, University of Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela Spain. Praza da Universidade 1, Santiago de Compostela, 15782, Spain
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lorenzo N.,Díaz-Poso A.,Royé D.. Heatwave intensity on the Iberian Peninsula: Future climate projections[J],2021,258.
APA	Lorenzo N.,Díaz-Poso A.,&Royé D..(2021).Heatwave intensity on the Iberian Peninsula: Future climate projections.Atmospheric Research,258.
MLA	Lorenzo N.,et al."Heatwave intensity on the Iberian Peninsula: Future climate projections".Atmospheric Research 258(2021).