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| DOI | 10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105853 |
| Effect of preceding soil moisture-snow cover anomalies around Turan Plain on June precipitation over the southern Yangtze River valley | |
| He K.; Liu G.; Wu R.; Nan S.; Li J.; Yue X.; Wang H.; Wei X.; Li R. | |
| Date Issued | 2021 |
| ISSN | 0169-8095 |
| Volume | 264 |
| Other Abstract | This study investigates precursory signals of the June precipitation over the southern Yangtze River valley (SYRV). It is found that the synergistic anomalies of the Turan Plain soil moisture and northern Iranian Plain snow cover (TPSM-IPSC) during April can modulate the June SYRV precipitation. Through the persistence/memory effect of soil moisture anomalies, lower soil moisture around the Turan Plain-Iranian Plain region can maintain from April to June. Because of drier soil (i.e., lower soil moisture), higher surface air temperature (SAT) appears over the Turan Plain during June. The higher SAT anomaly stimulates anomalous upward motion and associated overlying and downstream atmospheric circulation anomalies through modulating the downstream dispersion of Rossby wave energy. As a part of these atmospheric circulation anomalies, the blocking-like anomaly to the west of the Okhotsk Sea facilitates more June precipitation over the SYRV. Additionally, June SYRV precipitation is significantly correlated with sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the tropical eastern Pacific (TEP) during the preceding winter. The TPSM-IPSC can compensate for the defect of prediction using the TEP SST (i.e., ENSO) signal in recent years since the former (latter) shows a strengthened (weakened) relationship with SYRV precipitation recently. Considering jointly the traditional pacific SST and new TPSM-IPSC precursors, we establish a physics-based statistical prediction model, which shows a good skill in predicting June SYRV precipitation. © 2021 Elsevier B.V. |
| enkeywords | Precipitation; Prediction; Snow cover; Soil moisture; The Turan Plain; The Yangtze River valley |
| journal | Atmospheric Research
 |
| Document Type | 期刊论文 |
| Identifier | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/236569 |
| Affiliation | State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China; Department of Atmospheric Sciences, School of Earth Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China |
| Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | He K.,Liu G.,Wu R.,et al. Effect of preceding soil moisture-snow cover anomalies around Turan Plain on June precipitation over the southern Yangtze River valley[J],2021,264. |
| APA | He K..,Liu G..,Wu R..,Nan S..,Li J..,...&Li R..(2021).Effect of preceding soil moisture-snow cover anomalies around Turan Plain on June precipitation over the southern Yangtze River valley.Atmospheric Research,264. |
| MLA | He K.,et al."Effect of preceding soil moisture-snow cover anomalies around Turan Plain on June precipitation over the southern Yangtze River valley".Atmospheric Research 264(2021). |
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