Climate Change Data Portal
DOI | https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.859593 |
Maps (pdf) and raster images (tif) of predicted rural land cover suitability under current (2010) conditions and future climate scenarios | |
Lant; Christopher L; Stoebner; Timothy J; Schoof; Justin T; Crabb; Benjamin A | |
发布日期 | 2016-04-14 |
数据集类型 | dataset |
英文简介 | This study projects land cover probabilities under climate change for corn (maize), soybeans, spring and winter wheat, winter wheat-soybean double cropping, cotton, grassland and forest across 16 central U.S. states at a high spatial resolution, while also taking into account the influence of soil characteristics and topography. The scenarios span three oceanic-atmospheric global circulation models, three Representative Concentration Pathways, and three time periods (2040, 2070, 2100). As climate change intensifies, the suitable area for all six crops display large northward shifts. Total suitable area for spring wheat, followed by corn and soybeans, diminish. Suitable area for winter wheat and for winter wheat-soybean double-cropping expand northward, while cotton suitability migrates to new, more northerly, locations. Suitability for forest intensifies in the south while yielding to crops in the north; grassland intensifies in the western Great Plains as crop suitability diminishes. To maintain current broad geographic patterns of land use, large changes in the thermal response of crops such as corn would be required. A transition from corn-soybean to winter wheat-soybean doubling cropping is an alternative adaptation. |
空间范围 | Median Latitude: 37.058405 * Median Longitude: -92.734125 * South-bound Latitude: 24.752960 * West-bound Longitude: -109.183360 * North-bound Latitude: 49.363850 * East-bound Longitude: -76.284890 |
时间范围 | 2010-01-01T00:00:00 - 2100-01-01T00:00:00 |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | 国际 |
学科大类 | 气候变化 |
学科子类 | 气候变化 |
文献类型 | 数据集 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/216862 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lant,Christopher L,Stoebner,et al. Maps (pdf) and raster images (tif) of predicted rural land cover suitability under current (2010) conditions and future climate scenarios.2016-04-14.https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.859593. |
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