气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Emerging evidence that armed conflict and coca cultivation influence deforestation patterns

CCPortal

DOI	https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.899573
	Emerging evidence that armed conflict and coca cultivation influence deforestation patterns
	Negret; Pablo Jose; Sonter; Laura; Watson; James E M; Possingham; Hugh P; Jones; Kendall R; Suarez; Cesar; Ochoa-Quintero; Jose Manuel; Maron; Martine
发布日期	2019-03-22
数据集类型	dataset
英文关键词	Colombia ; Conservation ; Dinamica EGO ; Forest loss ; Human Conflict ; Illicit Crops ; Land cover change
英文简介	The effect of armed conflict on deforestation in biodiverse regions across Earth remains poorly understood. Its association with factors like illegal crop cultivation can obscure its effect on deforestation patterns. We used Colombia, a global biodiversity hotspot with a complex political history, to explore the association of both armed conflict and coca cultivation with deforestation patterns. We generated spatial predictions of deforestation pressure based on the period 2000-2015 to understand how armed conflict and coca cultivation are associated with spatial patterns of deforestation and assess the spatial distribution of deforestation pressure induced by armed conflict and coca cultivation. Deforestation was positively associated with armed conflict intensity and proximity to illegal coca plantations. A deforestation model including 14 variables was 67% accurate in predicting deforestation at a 10 km² resolution; removing armed conflict and coca cultivations from the deforestation model reduced its accuracy by 6%. Deforestation pressure induced by armed conflict and coca cultivation was highest in Tumaco and Catatumbo regions and in la Macarena, Sierra Nevada and San Lucas mountains—all areas of high biodiversity and conservation importance. In some regions, lack of governance after the peace accords is increasing armed conflict, and our results suggest that those increases in conflict may increase deforestation in those areas. The methods used here can be replicated to help understand the complex ways in which armed conflict affects deforestation patterns in other regions.
空间范围	Latitude: 4.000000 * Longitude: -74.000000
语种	英语
国家	国际
学科大类	气候变化
学科子类	气候变化
文献类型	数据集
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/215895
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Negret,Pablo Jose,Sonter,et al. Emerging evidence that armed conflict and coca cultivation influence deforestation patterns.2019-03-22.https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.899573.