气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Drivers of PM2.5 air pollution deaths in China 2002

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41561-021-00792-3
	Drivers of PM2.5 air pollution deaths in China 2002–2017
	Geng G.; Zheng Y.; Zhang Q.; Xue T.; Zhao H.; Tong D.; Zheng B.; Li M.; Liu F.; Hong C.; He K.; Davis S.J.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	17520894
英文摘要	Between 2002 and 2017, China’s gross domestic product grew by 284%, but this surge was accompanied by a similarly prodigious growth in energy consumption, air pollution and air pollution-related deaths. Here we use a combination of index decomposition analysis and chemical transport modelling to quantify the relative influence of eight different factors on PM2.5-related deaths in China over the 15-year period from 2002 to 2017. We show that, over this period, PM2.5-related deaths increased by 0.39 million (23%) in China. Emission control technologies mandated by end-of-pipe control policies avoided 0.87 million deaths, which is nearly three-quarters (71%) of the deaths that would have otherwise occurred due to the country’s increased economic activity. In addition, energy-climate policies and changes in economic structure have also became evident recently and together avoided 0.39 million deaths from 2012 to 2017, leading to a decline in total deaths after 2012, despite the increasing vulnerability of China’s ageing population. As advanced end-of-pipe control measures have been widely implemented, such policies may face challenges in avoiding air pollution deaths in the future. Our findings thus suggest that further improvements in air quality must not only depend on stringent end-of-pipe control policies but also be reinforced by energy-climate policies and continuing changes in China’s economic structure. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
来源期刊	Nature Geoscience
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/206894
作者单位	State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China; Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China; Center of Air Quality Simulation and System Analysis, Chinese Academy of Environmental Planning, Beijing, China; Institute of Environment and Ecology, Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen, China; Department of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Geng G.,Zheng Y.,Zhang Q.,等. Drivers of PM2.5 air pollution deaths in China 2002–2017[J],2021.
APA	Geng G..,Zheng Y..,Zhang Q..,Xue T..,Zhao H..,...&Davis S.J..(2021).Drivers of PM2.5 air pollution deaths in China 2002–2017.Nature Geoscience.
MLA	Geng G.,et al."Drivers of PM2.5 air pollution deaths in China 2002–2017".Nature Geoscience (2021).