气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The nonlinear time lag multivariable grey prediction model based on interval grey numbers and its application

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s11069-020-04476-w
	The nonlinear time lag multivariable grey prediction model based on interval grey numbers and its application
	Xiong P.; Zou X.; Yang Y.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0921030X
英文摘要	The linear relationship of the original grey prediction model is too single, and the original grey prediction model does not consider the time delay of the effect of the current input parameters on the output parameters. In order to solve these problems, the interval grey number sequence is taken as the modelling sequence of the model, and the nonlinear parameter γ and the time-delay parameter τ are introduced into the multivariate grey prediction model, so as to construct the nonlinear time-delay multivariable grey prediction model for interval grey number. In view of the uncertain characteristics of the smog index data, this paper applies the improved model to the simulation and prediction of the smog index data. Compared with the original model, the results show that the prediction effect of the model proposed in this paper is superior to the original model in terms of its effectiveness and feasibility. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. part of Springer Nature.
关键词	Grey system Interval grey number Nonlinear Smog Time lag
语种	英语
来源期刊	Natural Hazards
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/206678
作者单位	School of Management Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China; Jiangsu Statistical Science Research Base, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China; College of Mathematics and Statistics, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China; Institute of Artificial Intelligence, De Montfort University, Leicester, LE1 9BH, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Xiong P.,Zou X.,Yang Y.. The nonlinear time lag multivariable grey prediction model based on interval grey numbers and its application[J],2021.
APA	Xiong P.,Zou X.,&Yang Y..(2021).The nonlinear time lag multivariable grey prediction model based on interval grey numbers and its application.Natural Hazards.
MLA	Xiong P.,et al."The nonlinear time lag multivariable grey prediction model based on interval grey numbers and its application".Natural Hazards (2021).