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| DOI | 10.1007/s11069-021-04645-5 |
| Selecting and correcting RCM models ensemble: a case study for the evaluation of thermal discomfort for the city of Prato | |
| Villani V.; Romano E.; Barbato G.; Mercogliano P. | |
| 发表日期 | 2021 |
| ISSN | 0921030X |
| 起始页码 | 1541 |
| 结束页码 | 1557 |
| 卷号 | 107期号:2 |
| 英文摘要 | In this work we propose an approach for selecting a subset of regional climate models that have a reasonable skill in simulating the past climate and represent changes in average and extreme climatic conditions well. After that, it is carried out a post-processing of the selected models based on quantile mapping correction. The selection of a subset of climate models is a crucial step when conducting climate change impact studies. Performaces of the proposed approach have been evaluated considering as a case study the evaluation of thermal discomfort for the city of Prato located in Italy. The climatic parameter adopted for the evaluation of the thermal discomfort due to high temperatures is the humidex index. For this specific test case, the approach defined and used to select an appropriate subset of EURO-CORDEX climate models to evaluate changes in the trend of humidex index and the related uncertainty, proved to be valid. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. |
| 关键词 | Bias correctionClimate changesHigh-resolution climate projectionsImpact studiesMulti-criteria approachMulti-model ensembleThermal discomfort |
| 英文关键词 | climate change; climate modeling; ensemble forecasting; error correction; high temperature; humidity; multicriteria analysis; performance assessment; regional climate; sampling bias; temperature effect; uncertainty analysis; weather forecasting; Italy; Prato [Prato (PRV)]; Prato [Tuscany]; Tuscany |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 来源期刊 | Natural Hazards
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/206632 |
| 作者单位 | REgional Models and geo-Hydrological Impacts (REMHI) Division, Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, Caserta, 8100, Italy; Dipartimento di Matematica e Fisica, Universitá degli Studi della Campania Luigi Vanvitelli, Caserta, Italy |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Villani V.,Romano E.,Barbato G.,et al. Selecting and correcting RCM models ensemble: a case study for the evaluation of thermal discomfort for the city of Prato[J],2021,107(2). |
| APA | Villani V.,Romano E.,Barbato G.,&Mercogliano P..(2021).Selecting and correcting RCM models ensemble: a case study for the evaluation of thermal discomfort for the city of Prato.Natural Hazards,107(2). |
| MLA | Villani V.,et al."Selecting and correcting RCM models ensemble: a case study for the evaluation of thermal discomfort for the city of Prato".Natural Hazards 107.2(2021). |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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