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DOI10.1007/s11069-020-04474-y
Quantifying the impact of ecosystem services for landscape management under wildfire hazard
Elimbi Moudio P.; Pais C.; Shen Z.-J.M.
发表日期2021
ISSN0921030X
起始页码531
结束页码560
卷号106期号:1
英文摘要In recent years, the frequency, intensity, and severity of wildfires have been on the rise due to various environmental factors. Several studies show that the strategic application of fuel treatments is effective at altering fire behavior and its spread patterns. Effective planning for mitigating future expected losses under wildfire risk is a complex challenge that requires the integration of fire spread, simulation, and optimization models as well as the inclusion of multiple objectives into a unified framework. Previous works simplify the analysis by valuing the landscape regions using a unique objective (e.g., minimize the average expected area burned) or a predefined objective function. However, such an assumption is a simplification of the real system as multiple parts of the landscape have different values based on factors such as the presence of human settlements and infrastructure, availability of environmental services, and forest health. In this work, we expand these previous attempts by providing an integrated framework to naturally include and weight multiple objectives into the optimization model and analyze the trade-off between present objectives and future protection against wildfire risk. We study three key regions based on their recent fire history, landscape diversity, and demographic variety to quantify the impact of multiple objectives in landscape management. We obtain treatment plans using various combinations of these layers reflecting how different priorities of the decision-makers could affect treatment policies. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. part of Springer Nature.
关键词Decision-making under uncertaintyDisaster managementFire riskFire-resilient landscapesNatural hazardWildfire risk analysis
英文关键词decision making; disaster management; environmental factor; fire management; optimization; risk assessment; uncertainty analysis; wildfire
语种英语
来源期刊Natural Hazards
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/206209
作者单位Industrial Engineering and Operations Research Department, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, United States
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Elimbi Moudio P.,Pais C.,Shen Z.-J.M.. Quantifying the impact of ecosystem services for landscape management under wildfire hazard[J],2021,106(1).
APA Elimbi Moudio P.,Pais C.,&Shen Z.-J.M..(2021).Quantifying the impact of ecosystem services for landscape management under wildfire hazard.Natural Hazards,106(1).
MLA Elimbi Moudio P.,et al."Quantifying the impact of ecosystem services for landscape management under wildfire hazard".Natural Hazards 106.1(2021).
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