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DOI10.1007/s11069-020-04467-x
Impacts of sea level rise on future storm-induced coastal inundations over massachusetts coast
Chen C.; Lin Z.; Beardsley R.C.; Shyka T.; Zhang Y.; Xu Q.; Qi J.; Lin H.; Xu D.
发表日期2021
ISSN0921030X
起始页码375
结束页码399
卷号106期号:1
英文摘要Hurricanes (tropical cyclones) and nor'easters (extratropical cyclones) are two major storm systems for flood risk over the Massachusetts coast. Severe coastal inundation usually happens when wind-induced waves and storm surges coincide with high tides. A Northeast Coastal Ocean Forecast System (NECOFS) was established and placed into the 24/7 forecast operations starting in 2007. Using a well-validated “end to end” FVCOM inundation model of NECOFS, we examined the impact of climate change-induced sea-level rise (SLR) on the future extratropical storms-induced coastal inundation over the Massachusetts coast. The assessment was done by making the model experiments to project the storm-induced inundation over the coastal areas of Scituate and Boston Harbors with different SLR scenarios under a hundred-year storm condition. The results suggest that with sustained SLR, the northeastern US coast will be vulnerable more severely to wave runup-induced splashing/overtopping than wind-induced storm surges. This finding is consistent with the change in the intensity of storm-generated surface waves in the last decade. The model also suggests that the responses of surge and surface waves to SLR are fully nonlinear. The assessment of the impacts of SLR on the future storm-induced coastal inundation should be investigated with a model including wave-current interactions. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. part of Springer Nature.
关键词Responses of surge and wave runup to sea level rise are fully nonlinearand required to be investigated with wave-current interactionsSea level rise will aggravate the storm-induced coastal inundationSea level rise willstrengthen surface waves and thus increase flood risk from wave runup-inducedovertopping
英文关键词coastal zone; extratropical cyclone; flooding; forecasting method; overtopping; sea level change; storm surge; wave runup; wave-current interaction; Boston Harbor; Massachusetts; Scituate; United States
语种英语
来源期刊Natural Hazards
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/206146
作者单位University of Massachusetts, Dartmouth, New Bedford, MA 02744, United States; Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA 02543, United States; Northeastern Regional Association of Coastal Ocean Observing Systems (NERACOOS), Portsmouth, NH 03801, United Kingdom; College of Marine Sciences, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai, 201306, China; Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory, Zhuhai, 519082, China
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GB/T 7714
Chen C.,Lin Z.,Beardsley R.C.,et al. Impacts of sea level rise on future storm-induced coastal inundations over massachusetts coast[J],2021,106(1).
APA Chen C..,Lin Z..,Beardsley R.C..,Shyka T..,Zhang Y..,...&Xu D..(2021).Impacts of sea level rise on future storm-induced coastal inundations over massachusetts coast.Natural Hazards,106(1).
MLA Chen C.,et al."Impacts of sea level rise on future storm-induced coastal inundations over massachusetts coast".Natural Hazards 106.1(2021).
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