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| DOI | 10.1007/s11069-021-04876-6 |
| Improving drought resilience in Northern Murray-Darling Basin farming communities: Is forecast-based financing suitable? | |
| Asghari A.; Kuleshov Y.; Watkins A.B.; Bhardwaj J.; Aitkenhead I. | |
| 发表日期 | 2021 |
| ISSN | 0921030X |
| 英文摘要 | A trend towards drier conditions during the April to October ‘cool’ season across southern Australia has been observed in the past few decades. Frequent and prolonged droughts have a significant impact on the financial stability of affected farming communities. Forecast-based Financing (FbF) is a novel proactive aid approach that provides support measures to increase resilience during the window between drought early warnings, and the actual onset and intensification of drought. Using the Northern Murray-Darling Basin as a case study, we investigated whether FbF combined with a user-centred Integrated Early Warning System (I-EWS) for drought has the potential to increase the drought resilience of Australian farming communities. This study shows that farming businesses most impacted by drought have three common factors: (i) lower levels of business management skills, (ii) lower levels of pre-drought preparedness during non-drought periods, and (iii) slower responses when the intensity of drought increases. The results suggest that FbF in its current form is not recommended for a market economy such as Australia, as forms of direct assistance may have adverse long-term effects through disrupting the market itself and may not encourage farm operators to regularly assess and adapt their drought management strategies. Results also suggest that providing farmers, service providers, and all levels of government with tools that incorporate a user-centred I-EWS for drought can improve overall decision-making before, during, and even after drought. This change from a reactive to a proactive approach to managing drought impacts can be a highly effective form of increasing the drought resilience of farming communities. © 2021, Crown. |
| 关键词 | AustraliaClimate riskDrought resilienceForecast-based financingMurray-Darling BasinProactive assistanceUser-centred integrated early warning system for drought |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 来源期刊 | Natural Hazards
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/206088 |
| 作者单位 | Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia; Bureau of Meteorology, Docklands, VIC, Australia; Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology (RMIT) University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Asghari A.,Kuleshov Y.,Watkins A.B.,et al. Improving drought resilience in Northern Murray-Darling Basin farming communities: Is forecast-based financing suitable?[J],2021. |
| APA | Asghari A.,Kuleshov Y.,Watkins A.B.,Bhardwaj J.,&Aitkenhead I..(2021).Improving drought resilience in Northern Murray-Darling Basin farming communities: Is forecast-based financing suitable?.Natural Hazards. |
| MLA | Asghari A.,et al."Improving drought resilience in Northern Murray-Darling Basin farming communities: Is forecast-based financing suitable?".Natural Hazards (2021). |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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