气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Study of double combination evaluation of urban comprehensive disaster risk

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s11069-020-04210-6
	Study of double combination evaluation of urban comprehensive disaster risk
	Wang W.; Xia C.; Liu C.; Wang Z.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0921030X
起始页码	1181
结束页码	1209
卷号	104 期号:2
英文摘要	Aiming at solving the difficult problem of inconsistent single-method evaluation results in comprehensive disaster risk assessment, this paper presents an evaluation method based on a combination of the ranking value and the evaluation value. First, the seven methods of the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE), the set pair analysis (SPA), the improved grey target analysis (IGT), the fuzzy stochastic simulation (FSS), the grey relational degree analysis (GRA), the extension matter element evaluation (EME), and the technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS) are used to conduct urban comprehensive disaster risk assessment. Second, to ensure the degree of correlation between individual evaluation methods and make full use of more information to achieve the purpose of complementary advantages, the Kendall synergy coefficient, the Spearman rank correlation coefficient, and the comprehensive support coefficient are used as the single-method compatibility consistency test standards. The combined evaluation methods of the cyclic correction model and support model are used to combine the single evaluation results, and the highly coordinated comprehensive disaster risk ranking value and evaluation value are obtained through repeated tests, thus constructing a highly scientific and reasonable dual combination evaluation model. Finally, through analysis and comparison of the final combined ranking and evaluation values of 31 provinces, municipalities directly under the central government and autonomous regions in China under the dual combination mode, it is verified that the dual combination idea can obtain evaluation results with high convergence and credibility, solve the problem of inconsistent evaluation results of multiple methods, provide a new research idea and method for measuring the comprehensive disaster risk of cities, and provide a scientific basis for efficiently serving comprehensive risk prevention management and various urban planning and construction work. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V.
关键词	Combination evaluation method Comprehensive disaster risk Comprehensive evaluation method Consistency test Cycle correction idea Support degree concept
英文关键词	disaster management; fuzzy mathematics; natural hazard; risk assessment; stochasticity; urban development; urban planning; China
语种	英语
来源期刊	Natural Hazards
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/205989
作者单位	College of Architecture and Urban Planning, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China; Institute of Earthquake Resistances and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China; College of Civil and Transportation, Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin, 300401, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang W.,Xia C.,Liu C.,et al. Study of double combination evaluation of urban comprehensive disaster risk[J],2020,104(2).
APA	Wang W.,Xia C.,Liu C.,&Wang Z..(2020).Study of double combination evaluation of urban comprehensive disaster risk.Natural Hazards,104(2).
MLA	Wang W.,et al."Study of double combination evaluation of urban comprehensive disaster risk".Natural Hazards 104.2(2020).