气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Tropical cyclone early warnings for the regions of the Southern Hemisphere: strengthening resilience to tropical cyclones in small island developing states and least developed countries

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s11069-020-04214-2
	Tropical cyclone early warnings for the regions of the Southern Hemisphere: strengthening resilience to tropical cyclones in small island developing states and least developed countries
	Kuleshov Y.; Gregory P.; Watkins A.B.; Fawcett R.J.B.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0921030X
起始页码	1295
结束页码	1313
卷号	104 期号:2
英文摘要	Tropical cyclones (TCs) affect countries in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) tropics every year causing significant humanitarian impacts and much damage to the natural environment. To reduce TC impacts on societies, early warning systems (EWS) are used to communicate the risk to the public. In 1999, the Climate Change and Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclones International Initiative (CCSHTCII) was established to enhance EWS for TCs in SH countries, with particular focus on support for small island developing states and least developed countries to provide effective public early warnings of TC risk. In this paper, recent activities of the CCSHTCII to strengthen TC EWS are presented. Using TC best track data from the SH TC historical data archive, the impact of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on inter-annual and spatial variability of TC activity is examined. TC-ENSO relationships in the SH are analysed and used as a scientific basis for the production of TC season outlooks. Communication of TC early warnings through TC season outlooks is described, and recommendations for improving outlooks are provided. © 2020, Crown.
关键词	Disaster risk reduction Early warning systems (EWS)Least developed countries (LDCs)Risk communication to the public Small island developing states (SIDS)Tropical cyclones
英文关键词	communication; developing world; disaster management; early warning system; risk assessment; small island state; Southern Hemisphere; tropical cyclone event
语种	英语
来源期刊	Natural Hazards
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/205771
作者单位	Bureau of Meteorology, Docklands, VIC, Australia; Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology (RMIT) University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Kuleshov Y.,Gregory P.,Watkins A.B.,et al. Tropical cyclone early warnings for the regions of the Southern Hemisphere: strengthening resilience to tropical cyclones in small island developing states and least developed countries[J],2020,104(2).
APA	Kuleshov Y.,Gregory P.,Watkins A.B.,&Fawcett R.J.B..(2020).Tropical cyclone early warnings for the regions of the Southern Hemisphere: strengthening resilience to tropical cyclones in small island developing states and least developed countries.Natural Hazards,104(2).
MLA	Kuleshov Y.,et al."Tropical cyclone early warnings for the regions of the Southern Hemisphere: strengthening resilience to tropical cyclones in small island developing states and least developed countries".Natural Hazards 104.2(2020).