气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): A multi-agent-based model for sustainable governance of urban flood risk mitigation measures

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s11069-020-04205-3
	A multi-agent-based model for sustainable governance of urban flood risk mitigation measures
	Koc K.; Işık Z.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0921030X
起始页码	1079
结束页码	1110
卷号	104 期号:1
英文摘要	Consequences of urban floods increased and diversified in terms of social, economical and environmental effects, due to the dense and unplanned urbanization in areas at risk of flooding. Reducing the potential damage of flood is one of the most effective and sustainable reduction strategies of flood risks through adopting adequate urban flood risk mitigation measures (UFRM). The main objective of this study is to ascertain urban floods and develop a model identifying UFRM in accordance with their importance in reducing the effects of floods by employing the concept of multi-agent systems. Social, economical and environmental-based agents were modelled in the agent environment to consider the three dimensions of sustainability in the proposed model. Thirteen negotiation strategies were developed for the agents to negotiate with each other. An illustrative case study was then performed to test the proposed model features, and the results were thoroughly analysed. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to specify the most sensitive strategies over the changing fuzziness level of agents. It was observed that the best strategy differs with respect to short-, medium- and long-term gains significantly, which, in turn, lead to alterations in the list of UFRM. This could provide different risk mitigation plans for different regions with their changing resources. In summary, this study provides an innovative multi-agent-based model that can be performed to specify the most urgent UFRM which can be used by disaster coordination and management authorities as a decision-making input. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V.
关键词	Flood risk factors Flood risk governance Multi-agent-based model Risk mitigation measures Urban flood
英文关键词	disaster management; flooding; numerical model; risk assessment; risk factor; sustainability; urbanization
语种	英语
来源期刊	Natural Hazards
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/205768
作者单位	Department of Civil Engineering, Yildiz Technical University, Istanbul, 34220, Turkey
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Koc K.,Işık Z.. A multi-agent-based model for sustainable governance of urban flood risk mitigation measures[J],2020,104(1).
APA	Koc K.,&Işık Z..(2020).A multi-agent-based model for sustainable governance of urban flood risk mitigation measures.Natural Hazards,104(1).
MLA	Koc K.,et al."A multi-agent-based model for sustainable governance of urban flood risk mitigation measures".Natural Hazards 104.1(2020).