气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Comparative study on flash flood hazard assessment for Nam Ou River Basin, Lao PDR

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DOI	10.1007/s11069-020-03972-3
	Comparative study on flash flood hazard assessment for Nam Ou River Basin, Lao PDR
	Du J.; Fan Z.-J.; Pu J.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0921030X
起始页码	1393
结束页码	1417
卷号	102 期号:3
英文摘要	Laos is a mountainous, rainy and less developed country in Southeast Asia. In Laos, floods represent a major constraint on social economic development, causing a large number of casualties and property losses each year, among which the impact from flash floods is also very prominent. Especially in recent decades, with the development of social economy and the intensification of hydropower development, the serious threat from flash floods is becoming more and more obvious. However, there is no fundamental defence system for flash floods been established yet in this country, and the basic knowledge on local flash flood development is also ignored. For filling this gap, taking the Nam Ou River Basin as an example, this paper tries to find out the most helpful hazard assessment method for current Laos based on comparative analysis from the flash flood potential index, the calculation of curve number–rainfall erosivity and the extrapolation method. The results show that the extrapolation method based on spatial lag model constructed by the data from Yunnan, China, presents the most reliable outcome compared with the other two methods, indicating the spatial autocorrelation model can also be useful for extrapolation, effectively. Besides, the scale effect of different potential impact elements on flash flood, i.e. the spatial correlation between each element and the distribution of flash flood events at different spatial statistic units, was also preliminary studied. It is found that the degree of correlation in spatial analysis depends on the short board effect, i.e. only the element that restricts the regional flash flood developmental system can be the key factor. The correlations of most watershed elements increase or decrease directly with the rise of watershed scale, and the values of coefficients tend to be stable at large watershed scales. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V.
关键词	FFPI Flash flood Hazard assessment Scale effect Spatial autocorrelation
英文关键词	comparative study; economic development; flash flood; hazard assessment; hazard management; socioeconomic status; Laos; Nam Ou Basin
语种	英语
来源期刊	Natural Hazards
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/205673
作者单位	Research Center on Mountain Torrent and Geologic Disaster Prevention of Ministry of Water Resources, Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute, No. 23, Huangpu Road, Jiang-an District, Wuhan, 430010, China; Chengdu University of Technology, State Key Laboratory of Geohazard Prevention and Geoenvironment Protection, Chengdu, 610059, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Du J.,Fan Z.-J.,Pu J.. Comparative study on flash flood hazard assessment for Nam Ou River Basin, Lao PDR[J],2020,102(3).
APA	Du J.,Fan Z.-J.,&Pu J..(2020).Comparative study on flash flood hazard assessment for Nam Ou River Basin, Lao PDR.Natural Hazards,102(3).
MLA	Du J.,et al."Comparative study on flash flood hazard assessment for Nam Ou River Basin, Lao PDR".Natural Hazards 102.3(2020).