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DOI10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112150
Decarbonizing China's power sector by 2030 with consideration of technological progress and cross-regional power transmission
Xiao J.; Li G.; Xie L.; Wang S.; Yu L.
发表日期2021
ISSN03014215
卷号150
英文摘要The power sector has tremendous technological potential for decarbonization, hence, the decarbonization of China's power sector is crucial to the successful implementation of national carbon emissions reduction plan. In this study, a decarbonization model with consideration of both technological progress and cross-regional power transmission for China's power sector is built to explore the potential and possible pathway of decarbonization under the constraint of optimal cost. The model is operated at different carbon prices in three economic growth scenarios. Our findings show that the power generation structure is undergoing a shift from coal power to hydropower, nuclear power, and wind power, and both the coal power generation and carbon emissions can peak by 2030. Carbon pricing can speed up this process and reduce the peak height. Additionally, an appropriate carbon price has a significant promoting effect on decarbonization in the power sector; we conclude that the optimal carbon price is 21 USD/t. Moreover, the higher the economic development level, the lower the final average cost of power generation mix and the more significant the carbon emissions reduction, which implies that it is more cost-effective to carry out decarbonization related policy in the power sector during the stage of rapid economic growth. © 2021 Elsevier Ltd
关键词Cross-regional power transmissionDecarbonizationPower sectorStructural optimizationTechnology learning curve
英文关键词Carbon; Cost effectiveness; Costs; Decarbonization; Emission control; Nuclear fuels; Power transmission; Transmissions; Wind power; Carbon emissions; Carbon emissions reductions; Carbon pricing; Cost effective; Economic growths; Power generation mix; Promoting effect; Technological progress; Electric power system interconnection; carbon emission; cost-benefit analysis; economic growth; emission control; environmental economics; pollution tax; power generation; China
语种英语
来源期刊Energy Policy
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/205409
作者单位Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610064, China; Management Science and Operations Research Institute, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610064, China; School of Medical Information Engineering, Zunyi Medical University, Zunyi, 563006, China; Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China; School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing, 100029, China
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GB/T 7714
Xiao J.,Li G.,Xie L.,et al. Decarbonizing China's power sector by 2030 with consideration of technological progress and cross-regional power transmission[J],2021,150.
APA Xiao J.,Li G.,Xie L.,Wang S.,&Yu L..(2021).Decarbonizing China's power sector by 2030 with consideration of technological progress and cross-regional power transmission.Energy Policy,150.
MLA Xiao J.,et al."Decarbonizing China's power sector by 2030 with consideration of technological progress and cross-regional power transmission".Energy Policy 150(2021).
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