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DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2020.112021
	Modelling the interaction between policies and international trade flows for liquid biofuels: an agent-based modelling approach
	van Tol M.C.M.; Moncada J.A.; Lukszo Z.; Weijnen M.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	03014215
卷号	149
英文摘要	World biofuel production and trade have grown exponentially in the last decade. Nevertheless, the interaction between the markets for oilseeds (food/feed/bioenergy) and liquid vegetable oil-based biofuels is overwhelmingly complex and thus not well understood. In this study, we developed a spatially explicit agent-based model to provide insights into the effect of farmers' behaviour on trade flows and biodiesel production and to shed light on the influence of import tariffs for both palm oil and biodiesel on system behaviour. This new approach enables us to assess different types of rational economic behaviour for the adoption of crops by farmers. Results show that model outcomes can vary substantially based on the assumptions made concerning the behaviour of farmers. Moreover, we found that biodiesel trade and production are more sensitive to a change in the EU-28's biodiesel import tariff than to a change in the EU-28's palm oil import tariff. Overall, our results show that social processes, actors' heterogeneity, and institutions play an important role in the behaviour of the system. © 2020 The Authors
关键词	Agent-based modelling (ABM)Economic behaviour farmers International trade flows Liquid biofuels Policy exploration
英文关键词	Agriculture; Autonomous agents; Biodiesel; Computational methods; Palm oil; Simulation platform; Agent-based model; Agent-based modelling; Biodiesel production; Biofuel production; Liquid biofuels; New approaches; Social process; Spatially explicit; International trade; biofuel; European Union; international trade; modeling; trade flow; Europe
语种	英语
来源期刊	Energy Policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/205381
作者单位	Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft University of Technology, Jaffalaan 5, Delft, 2628 BX, Netherlands; Energy Institute, Division Applied Mechanics and Energy Conversion, Department of Mechanical Engineering, KU Leuven, Celestijnenlaan 300A box 2421, Leuven, 3001, Belgium
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	van Tol M.C.M.,Moncada J.A.,Lukszo Z.,et al. Modelling the interaction between policies and international trade flows for liquid biofuels: an agent-based modelling approach[J],2021,149.
APA	van Tol M.C.M.,Moncada J.A.,Lukszo Z.,&Weijnen M..(2021).Modelling the interaction between policies and international trade flows for liquid biofuels: an agent-based modelling approach.Energy Policy,149.
MLA	van Tol M.C.M.,et al."Modelling the interaction between policies and international trade flows for liquid biofuels: an agent-based modelling approach".Energy Policy 149(2021).