气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Prioritization of strategic measures for strengthening the security of supply of the Serbian natural gas sector

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111936
	Prioritization of strategic measures for strengthening the security of supply of the Serbian natural gas sector
	Pavlović B.; Ivezić D.; Živković M.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	03014215
卷号	148
英文摘要	To strengthen the security of supply of the Serbian gas sector, it is necessary to analyze the impact of planned strategic measures. The analysis involves the identification of the most influential threats to the security of natural gas supply and prioritization of the strategic measures for overcoming the consequences of threats. The proposed methodology is based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process. The obtained weights for the identified threats and strategic measures are formed according to experts' judgments. The results of the experts’ judgments indicate that the most influential threats are termination of supply at the border with Hungary, termination of supply from Russia, and termination of supply from gas storage. The strategic measure with the highest priority is the so-called “Turkish Stream” project. Two additional strategic measures (gas interconnection Serbia – Bulgaria and the project of expanding the capacities of underground gas storage) could also be beneficial. The final results are validated by two security of supply indicators - Infrastructural Supply Standard (N-1) and Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI). The N-1 is implemented to examine the preparedness of the gas system for disruption of the largest source in the network, while the HHI is implemented to examine the diversification of the imports. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd
关键词	Decision-making Energy indicators Fuzzy AHP Natural gas supply Security of supply
英文关键词	Gas industry; Gas supply; Fuzzy analytic hierarchy process; Gas sector; Gas storage; Gas systems; Herfindahl-hirschman indices; Prioritization; Security of supply; Turkishs; Underground gas storage; analytical hierarchy process; decision making; energy market; fuzzy mathematics; natural gas; prioritization; strategic approach; Serbia
语种	英语
来源期刊	Energy Policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/205291
作者单位	University of Belgrade - Faculty of Mining and Geology, Djusina 7, Belgrade, 11000, Serbia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Pavlović B.,Ivezić D.,Živković M.. Prioritization of strategic measures for strengthening the security of supply of the Serbian natural gas sector[J],2021,148.
APA	Pavlović B.,Ivezić D.,&Živković M..(2021).Prioritization of strategic measures for strengthening the security of supply of the Serbian natural gas sector.Energy Policy,148.
MLA	Pavlović B.,et al."Prioritization of strategic measures for strengthening the security of supply of the Serbian natural gas sector".Energy Policy 148(2021).