气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The U.S. coal sector between shale gas and renewables: Last resort coal exports?

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DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2020.112097
	The U.S. coal sector between shale gas and renewables: Last resort coal exports?
	Hauenstein C.; Holz F.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	03014215
卷号	149
英文摘要	Coal consumption and production have sharply declined in recent years in the U.S., despite political support. Reasons are mostly unfavorable economic conditions for coal, including competition from natural gas and renewables in the power sector, as well as an aging coal-fired power plant fleet. Nevertheless, coal remains a major energy source in the North American energy markets. Supplementing EMF34 energy system analyses, we take a sectoral perspective to analyze coal's future role in this context. The U.S. Energy Information Administration as well as most models in EMF34 depict continuously high shares of coal-fired power generation over the next decades in their current policy scenarios. We contrast their results with coal sector modelling based on bottom-up data and recent market trends. We project considerably lower near-term coal use for power generation in the U.S. This has significant effects on regional coal production. Allowing new export terminals along the U.S. West Coast could ease cuts in U.S. production. Yet, exports are a highly uncertain strategy because the U.S. could be strongly affected by changes in global demand, for example from non-U.S. climate policy. © 2020 The Authors
关键词	Coal EMF34 International coal trade Numerical modeling Scenarios USA
英文关键词	Coal; Commerce; Fossil fuel power plants; Gas industry; Natural gas wells; Natural gasoline plants; Shale gas; Coal consumption; Coal production; Coal-fired power generation; Coal-fired power plant; Economic condition; Energy system analysis; Political support; U.s. energy information administrations; Coal industry; alternative energy; coal industry; energy market; export; numerical model; scenario analysis; shale gas; United States
语种	英语
来源期刊	Energy Policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/205133
作者单位	Workgroup for Economic and Infrastructure Policy, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, Berlin, 10623, Germany; Dept. Energy, Transport, Environment, German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), Mohrenstr. 58, Berlin, 10115, Germany; Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), NTNU Energy Transition Initiative (NETI), Trondheim, 7491, Norway
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Hauenstein C.,Holz F.. The U.S. coal sector between shale gas and renewables: Last resort coal exports?[J],2021,149.
APA	Hauenstein C.,&Holz F..(2021).The U.S. coal sector between shale gas and renewables: Last resort coal exports?.Energy Policy,149.
MLA	Hauenstein C.,et al."The U.S. coal sector between shale gas and renewables: Last resort coal exports?".Energy Policy 149(2021).