气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): A dynamic model to formulate effective capacity expansion policies in Iranian petrochemical Industry to complete the value chain

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111992
	A dynamic model to formulate effective capacity expansion policies in Iranian petrochemical Industry to complete the value chain
	Hajiebrahimi Farashah V.; Sazvar Z.; Hosseini S.H.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	03014215
卷号	148
英文摘要	The petrochemical industry plays a pivotal role in achieving high value-added products from oil and gas reserves. With attention to oil and gas reserves in Iran, it is clear that the petrochemical industry has not grown up adequately. This study aims to determine effective factors on petrochemical industry development and model the mechanism of capacity expansion budget creation using a system dynamics approach. A quantified system dynamics model has been built based on causal relationships and the mechanism of development budget allocation among categorized products. This structure is used to simulate the model and investigate essential variables related to each product, such as production capacity value, production rate, domestic sale revenue, and export. According to the results of a simulation, in 2025, Iran will have a capacity of approximately 104 million tons of petrochemical products that is not desirable. In this study, a policy of improving budget plan and allocation is introduced as the most effective solution to achieve the petrochemical industry development. By implementing this policy the production capacity and total revenue would respectively be improved by 4% and 13% in 2025 in comparison with the base run. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd
关键词	Capacity expansion Petrochemical industry Scenario analysis System dynamics Value chain
语种	英语
来源期刊	Energy Policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/205126
作者单位	School of Industrial Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran; Model-Based Management Systems Institute (SAMAM), Tehran, Iran
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Hajiebrahimi Farashah V.,Sazvar Z.,Hosseini S.H.. A dynamic model to formulate effective capacity expansion policies in Iranian petrochemical Industry to complete the value chain[J],2021,148.
APA	Hajiebrahimi Farashah V.,Sazvar Z.,&Hosseini S.H..(2021).A dynamic model to formulate effective capacity expansion policies in Iranian petrochemical Industry to complete the value chain.Energy Policy,148.
MLA	Hajiebrahimi Farashah V.,et al."A dynamic model to formulate effective capacity expansion policies in Iranian petrochemical Industry to complete the value chain".Energy Policy 148(2021).