气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Estimating the impact of the license plate quota policy for ICEVs on new energy vehicle adoption by using synthetic control method

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2020.112022
	Estimating the impact of the license plate quota policy for ICEVs on new energy vehicle adoption by using synthetic control method
	Chi Y.-Y.; Wang Y.-Y.; Xu J.-H.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	03014215
卷号	149
英文摘要	Since 1994, to overcome adoption barriers and promote new energy vehicles (NEVs), eight cities and one province in China have implemented a license plate quota policy for internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs). We use a city-level dataset of NEV sales to assess the impact of license plate quota policy for ICEVs on the adoption of NEVs, by using both the synthetic control method (SCM) and difference-in-differences (DID) method for the first time. We find that license plate quota policy can significantly increase the annual sales of NEVs in Tianjin, Hangzhou, Shenzhen, and Haikou by approximately 73.4%, 87.5%, 87%, and 65.5% of total sales of NEVs, which is equivalent to increasing the annual sales of NEVs by 15,557, 22,267, 37,455, and 448 vehicles, respectively. Further, our findings indicate that a license plate quota policy for ICEVs promotes the adoption of NEVs but has certain limitations, for example, license plate quota policy has a short-term inhibitory effect on the regional auto industry. Moreover, due to the restraint on consumers from purchasing ICEVs, consumers have certain negative sentiment toward the policy based on text analysis. Regions where license plate quota policy is adopted generally required well-developed public transportation and adequate charging infrastructures. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd
关键词	Difference-in-differences method License plate quota policy for ICEVs New energy vehicle Policy evaluation Synthetic control method
英文关键词	Sales; Adoption barriers; Charging infrastructures; Difference-in-differences; Internal combustion engine vehicles; Negative sentiments; New energy vehicles; Public transportation; Synthetic control; License plates (automobile); adoption behavior; automobile industry; data set; electric vehicle; policy approach; policy implementation; public transport; transportation policy; China; Guangdong; Haikou; Hainan; Hangzhou; Shenzhen; Tianjin; Zhejiang
语种	英语
来源期刊	Energy Policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/205057
作者单位	School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China; Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Chi Y.-Y.,Wang Y.-Y.,Xu J.-H.. Estimating the impact of the license plate quota policy for ICEVs on new energy vehicle adoption by using synthetic control method[J],2021,149.
APA	Chi Y.-Y.,Wang Y.-Y.,&Xu J.-H..(2021).Estimating the impact of the license plate quota policy for ICEVs on new energy vehicle adoption by using synthetic control method.Energy Policy,149.
MLA	Chi Y.-Y.,et al."Estimating the impact of the license plate quota policy for ICEVs on new energy vehicle adoption by using synthetic control method".Energy Policy 149(2021).