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| DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111692 |
| The impact of Nord Stream 2 on the European gas market bargaining positions | |
| Sziklai B.R.; Kóczy L.Á.; Csercsik D. | |
| 发表日期 | 2020 |
| ISSN | 03014215 |
| 卷号 | 144 |
| 英文摘要 | We investigate the impact and the possible consequences of the construction of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline. We model the European gas network as a cooperative game between regions as players over the pipeline network. Our model offers several novelties compared to earlier cooperative studies. Firstly, we focus on cost saving rather than on the profits of cooperation. Secondly, we introduce liquefied natural gas as a player. Thirdly, we apply an iterative linear program to account for the long term bilateral contracts that still drive the gas market. This modelling technique also allows us to identify individual gas flows. We focus on the change of influence of the players in three different scenarios. We investigate how the power of the agents shift when the Nord Stream pipeline is expanded, when the Ukrainian pipeline is shut down and finally when both of these happen. Our calculations show that when Nord Stream 2 is operational, Russia and Western Europe improve their position compared to the base scenario, while other suppliers, notably Norway, together with Central- Eastern- and Southern Europe suffer losses, especially when the Ukrainian route is dismissed. The results highlight that both the supporters and adversaries of Nord Stream 2 are governed by self-interest and solidarity and trust, the values proclaimed by the EU and the Energy Union, remain but a slogan. © 2020 The Authors |
| 关键词 | Bargaining powerCooperative gamesGas supplyNord StreamPipeline networkShapley value |
| 英文关键词 | Commerce; Gases; Iterative methods; Linear programming; Liquefied natural gas; Cooperative game; European gas markets; Linear programs; Long-term bilateral contracts; Modelling techniques; Pipeline networks; Southern Europe; Western Europe; Pipelines; bargaining; cost analysis; energy market; European Union; gas pipeline; liquefied natural gas; profitability; Norway; Russian Federation; Ukraine |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 来源期刊 | Energy Policy
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/204878 |
| 作者单位 | Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies, Hungary; Department of Finance, Budapest University of Technology and Economics, Hungary; Department of Operations Research and Actuarial Sciences, Corvinus University of Budapest, Hungary; Faculty of Information Technology and Bionics, Pázmány Péter Catholic University, Hungary |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sziklai B.R.,Kóczy L.Á.,Csercsik D.. The impact of Nord Stream 2 on the European gas market bargaining positions[J],2020,144. |
| APA | Sziklai B.R.,Kóczy L.Á.,&Csercsik D..(2020).The impact of Nord Stream 2 on the European gas market bargaining positions.Energy Policy,144. |
| MLA | Sziklai B.R.,et al."The impact of Nord Stream 2 on the European gas market bargaining positions".Energy Policy 144(2020). |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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