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DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111885 |
Fuel riots: definition, evidence and policy implications for a new type of energy-related conflict | |
Natalini D.; Bravo G.; Newman E. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 03014215 |
卷号 | 147 |
英文摘要 | ‘Fuel riots’ are a distinct type of energy-related conflict. We provide the first fuel riots database and explore their social, economic and environmental drivers. The analysis demonstrates links between fuel riots and high international crude oil prices in countries characterised by weak state capacity, deficient governance, fuel scarcity and poor economic performance. We suggest a potential causal pathway for fuel riots: when international fuel prices spike, net fuel-importing countries bear higher costs. If these countries are politically unstable and their government inefficient, the likelihood of fuel riots is high. Wealthier countries can absorb price increases and maintain subsidies, as opposed to poorer societies where fuel riots are more likely. Our findings demonstrate the role of state capacity and socio-economic conditions in enabling conflict, and will inform policy by identifying fertile ground for fuel riots, i.e. societies likely to be affected by increases in fuel prices due to scarcity and climate action (such as carbon taxes). We propose that policies which better control international prices and action designed to reduce political instability in vulnerable countries are key to preventing fuel riots. Fuel subsidy reform must anticipate popular opposition and mitigate the impact upon vulnerable populations in order to reduce the likelihood of instability and minimise hardship. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd |
关键词 | Energy policyEnergy protestsEnergy securityEnvironmental conflictFuel priceFuel riots |
英文关键词 | Costs; Developing countries; Fuels; Petroleum analysis; Public policy; Carbon taxes; Economic performance; Fuel prices; Policy implications; Political instability; Price increase; Role of state; Socio-economic conditions; Crude oil price; commodity price; energy policy; fuel; international conflict; popular protest; security; socioeconomic conditions; state role |
语种 | 英语 |
来源期刊 | Energy Policy |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/204789 |
作者单位 | Global Sustainability Institute, Anglia Ruskin University, Cambridge, CB1 1PT, United Kingdom; Department of Social Studies, Linnaeus University, Universitetsplatsen 1, Växjö, 35195, Sweden; Linnaeus University Center for Data Intensive Sciences & Applications (DISA@LNU), Växjö, Sweden; School of Politics and International Studies, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, United Kingdom |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Natalini D.,Bravo G.,Newman E.. Fuel riots: definition, evidence and policy implications for a new type of energy-related conflict[J],2020,147. |
APA | Natalini D.,Bravo G.,&Newman E..(2020).Fuel riots: definition, evidence and policy implications for a new type of energy-related conflict.Energy Policy,147. |
MLA | Natalini D.,et al."Fuel riots: definition, evidence and policy implications for a new type of energy-related conflict".Energy Policy 147(2020). |
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