气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Key findings from the core North American scenarios in the EMF34 intermodel comparison

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111599
	Key findings from the core North American scenarios in the EMF34 intermodel comparison
	Huntington H.G.; Bhargava A.; Daniels D.; Weyant J.P.; Avraam C.; Bistline J.; Edmonds J.A.; Giarola S.; Hawkes A.; Hansen M.; Johnston P.; Molar-Cruz A.; Nadew M.; Siddiqui S.; Vaillancourt K.; Victor N.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	03014215
卷号	144
英文摘要	Within Canada, Mexico or the United States, policy-making organizations are evaluating energy markets and energy trade within their own borders often by ignoring how these countries’ energy systems are integrated with each other. These analytical gaps provided the main motivation for the Energy Modeling Forum (EMF) 34 study on North American energy integration and trade. This paper compares North American results from 17 models and discusses their policy motivation. Oil and natural gas production in the three major countries are modestly sensitive to crude oil and natural gas price changes, although these elasticities are below unity. Carbon taxes displace coal and some natural gas with renewables within all three power markets. Lower natural gas prices replace coal and some renewables with natural gas within electric generation. Higher intermittent renewable penetration in the power sector displaces coal and some natural gas. A key conclusion is that much remains to be done in integrating future analyses and in sharing and improving the quality and consistency of the underlying data. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd
关键词	Data sharing Energy market integration Energy transitions Model comparison
英文关键词	Coal; Commerce; Crude oil price; Energy policy; Gas industry; Gases; Motivation; Natural gas; Natural gas well production; Petroleum industry; Public policy; Electric generation; Energy integration; Energy markets; Energy systems; Natural gas price; North American; Oil and natural gas; Oil and natural gas productions; Coal industry; alternative energy; electricity generation; energy market; energy policy; numerical model; price dynamics; scenario analysis; Canada; Mexico [North America]; United States
语种	英语
来源期刊	Energy Policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/204706
作者单位	Stanford University, United States; Canada Energy Regulator, Canada; US Energy Information Administration, United States; Johns Hopkins University, United States; Electric Power Research Institute, United States; Joint Global Change Research Institute, United States; Imperial College London, United Kingdom; Environment and Climate Change, Canada; Technical University of Munich, Germany; American University, United States; ESMIA Consultants, Canada; National Energy Technology Laboratory, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Huntington H.G.,Bhargava A.,Daniels D.,et al. Key findings from the core North American scenarios in the EMF34 intermodel comparison[J],2020,144.
APA	Huntington H.G..,Bhargava A..,Daniels D..,Weyant J.P..,Avraam C..,...&Victor N..(2020).Key findings from the core North American scenarios in the EMF34 intermodel comparison.Energy Policy,144.
MLA	Huntington H.G.,et al."Key findings from the core North American scenarios in the EMF34 intermodel comparison".Energy Policy 144(2020).