气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Evaluating an adaptive management strategy for organizational energy use under climate uncertainty

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111547
	Evaluating an adaptive management strategy for organizational energy use under climate uncertainty
	Delorit J.D.; Schuldt S.J.; Chini C.M.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	03014215
卷号	142
英文摘要	Changing climate creates energy demand uncertainty that is essential for facility and organizational management. Energy conservation can be achieved through combinations of capital improvements and/or management strategies. One such management strategy is implementation of non-conditioning zones to reduce temperate season energy demand. In this study, we evaluate a temporally-based, non-conditioning zone policy originally developed for Kunsan Air Force Base, Korea and apply it to six locations across the contiguous United States, which coincide with major U.S. Air Force bases in various climate zones. Using projected temperature portfolios, we determine that the performance of the implemented policy is likely to change over the remainder of the century. In temperate climate zones, there is an increase in the potential non-conditioning zone by about a month. However, in a tropical climate, the potential duration for a non-conditioned zone reduces by over half by the end of the century. In addition to non-conditioning zone duration change, temporal shifts in the spring and fall seasons affect non-conditioning zone onset. The cumulative changes suggest the need for climate forecast-informed adaptive management policies to mitigate energy demand. The results of this study inform organization and facility-level energy management, suggesting adaptive management policies to address energy budget uncertainty. © 2020
关键词	Adaptive management Climate change Energy conservation Organizational energy use
英文关键词	Budget control; Energy management; Military aviation; Adaptive Management; Capital improvement; Climate forecasts; IS implementation; Management strategies; Organizational management; Temperate climate; Tropical climates; Climate change; adaptive management; energy budget; energy use; environmental policy; policy implementation; uncertainty analysis; United States
语种	英语
来源期刊	Energy Policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/204624
作者单位	Air Force Institute of Technology, Department of Systems Engineering and Management, 2950 Hobson Way, WPAFBOH 45433, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Delorit J.D.,Schuldt S.J.,Chini C.M.. Evaluating an adaptive management strategy for organizational energy use under climate uncertainty[J],2020,142.
APA	Delorit J.D.,Schuldt S.J.,&Chini C.M..(2020).Evaluating an adaptive management strategy for organizational energy use under climate uncertainty.Energy Policy,142.
MLA	Delorit J.D.,et al."Evaluating an adaptive management strategy for organizational energy use under climate uncertainty".Energy Policy 142(2020).