气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): An assessment of energy efficient motors application by scenarios evaluation

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111402
	An assessment of energy efficient motors application by scenarios evaluation
	Bortoni E.C.; Magalhães L.P.; Nogueira L.A.H.; Bajay S.V.; Cassula A.M.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	03014215
卷号	140
英文摘要	The choice of the most appropriate public policies to foster energy efficiency measures often is a difficult task due to the large number of intervening variables and agents and, also, high levels of uncertainties in estimating the corresponding energy savings. This paper presents a methodology that builds up scenarios to assess the impacts on energy consumption of introducing different levels of penetration of efficient electric induction motors, according to the set of policies and measures adopted in the scenarios. The proposed methodology comprises three modules. The first one selects strategic objectives, key variables and control players, determines their direct and cross-influence levels, based on the opinions of consulted experts, and sets up some scenarios combining them. The second module carries out electric motor sales forecasts based on electricity consumption forecasts for the industry. The third module estimates the energy saving forecasts associated to each scenario. The approach is applied to Brazil in the paper, indicating valuable policy options and their likelihood to local decision makers and other stakeholders. © 2020
关键词	Electric motors Energy efficiency Energy policies Scenarios technique
英文关键词	Decision making; Electric motors; Energy policy; Energy utilization; Forecasting; Induction motors; Public policy; Sales; Uncertainty analysis; Electric induction; Electricity-consumption; Energy-efficient motor; Foster energy efficiency; Local decisions; Policies and measures; Scenarios technique; Strategic objectives; Energy efficiency; assessment method; decision making; energy efficiency; energy policy; scenario analysis; stakeholder; strategic approach
语种	英语
来源期刊	Energy Policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/204576
作者单位	Excellence Center in Energy Efficiency - EXCEN, Itajubá Federal University, Brazil; National Electricity Conservation Program – PROCEL, ELETROBRAS, Brazil; Interdisciplinary Center of Energy Planning – NIPE, State University of Campinas, Brazil; Electrical Engineering Department, São Paulo State University at Guaratinguetá, Brazil
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Bortoni E.C.,Magalhães L.P.,Nogueira L.A.H.,et al. An assessment of energy efficient motors application by scenarios evaluation[J],2020,140.
APA	Bortoni E.C.,Magalhães L.P.,Nogueira L.A.H.,Bajay S.V.,&Cassula A.M..(2020).An assessment of energy efficient motors application by scenarios evaluation.Energy Policy,140.
MLA	Bortoni E.C.,et al."An assessment of energy efficient motors application by scenarios evaluation".Energy Policy 140(2020).