气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Implications of EMF 34 scenarios on renewable deployment and carbon abatement in Canada: Insights from a regionalized energy model

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DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111518
	Implications of EMF 34 scenarios on renewable deployment and carbon abatement in Canada: Insights from a regionalized energy model
	Bahn O.; Vaillancourt K.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	03014215
卷号	142
英文摘要	This paper proposes a detailed analysis of the evolution of Canadian energy systems under some selected EMF (Energy Modeling Forum) 34 scenarios. Our analysis is based on NATEM, an energy model that follows the TIMES approach of the International Energy Agency to represent in detail the energy sector of each of the 13 Canadian provinces and territories. NATEM shows that imposing different renewable penetration constraints for electricity generation has limited impacts outside the electricity sector. In particular, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions continue to increase over time. Conversely, the imposition of a carbon tax has broader impacts on Canadian energy systems and on GHG emissions that are almost stabilized. However, the level of the carbon tax envisions by the EMF 34 study (increasing to a maximum level of $130 per tonne by 2050) is not high enough, in a Canadian context, to trigger a decrease of GHG emissions over time as mandated by Canadian climate policies. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd
关键词	Climate change mitigation Low-carbon energy system Prospective analysis Renewable electricity TIMES optimization Model
英文关键词	Carbon; Emission control; Gas emissions; Broader impacts; Carbon abatement; Climate policy; Electricity generation; Electricity sector; Energy systems; International energy agency; Maximum levels; Greenhouse gases; electricity generation; energy management; energy policy; pollution tax; renewable resource; scenario analysis; Canada
语种	英语
来源期刊	Energy Policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/204551
作者单位	GERAD and Department of Decision Sciences, HEC Montréal, 3000 Chemin de la Côte-Ste-Catherine, Montréal, Quebec H3T 2A7, Canada; ESMIA Consultants, Blainville, Quebec, Canada
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Bahn O.,Vaillancourt K.. Implications of EMF 34 scenarios on renewable deployment and carbon abatement in Canada: Insights from a regionalized energy model[J],2020,142.
APA	Bahn O.,&Vaillancourt K..(2020).Implications of EMF 34 scenarios on renewable deployment and carbon abatement in Canada: Insights from a regionalized energy model.Energy Policy,142.
MLA	Bahn O.,et al."Implications of EMF 34 scenarios on renewable deployment and carbon abatement in Canada: Insights from a regionalized energy model".Energy Policy 142(2020).