气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): What has Global Sensitivity Analysis ever done for us? A systematic review to support scientific advancement and to inform policy-making in earth system modelling

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DOI	10.1016/j.earscirev.2019.04.006
	What has Global Sensitivity Analysis ever done for us? A systematic review to support scientific advancement and to inform policy-making in earth system modelling
	Wagener T.; Pianosi F.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	00128252
起始页码	1
结束页码	18
卷号	194
英文摘要	Computer models are essential tools in the earth system sciences. They underpin our search for understanding of earth system functioning and support decision- and policy-making across spatial and temporal scales. To understand the implications of uncertainty and environmental variability on the identification of such earth system models and their predictions, we can rely on increasingly powerful Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA)methods. Previous reviews have characterised the variability of GSA methods available and their usability for different tasks. In our paper we rather focus on reviewing what has been learned so far by applying GSA to models across the earth system sciences, independently of the specific algorithm that was applied. We identify and discuss 10 key findings with general applicability and relevance for the earth sciences. We further provide an A-B-C-D of best practise in applying GSA methods, which we have derived from analysing why some GSA applications provided more insight than others. © 2019 Elsevier B.V.
英文关键词	algorithm; computer simulation; decision making; Earth science; policy making; sensitivity analysis; spatiotemporal analysis
语种	英语
来源期刊	Earth Science Reviews
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/203581
作者单位	Department of Civil Engineering, University of Bristol, United Kingdom; Cabot Institute, University of Bristol, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wagener T.,Pianosi F.. What has Global Sensitivity Analysis ever done for us? A systematic review to support scientific advancement and to inform policy-making in earth system modelling[J],2019,194.
APA	Wagener T.,&Pianosi F..(2019).What has Global Sensitivity Analysis ever done for us? A systematic review to support scientific advancement and to inform policy-making in earth system modelling.Earth Science Reviews,194.
MLA	Wagener T.,et al."What has Global Sensitivity Analysis ever done for us? A systematic review to support scientific advancement and to inform policy-making in earth system modelling".Earth Science Reviews 194(2019).