气候变化领域集成服务门户

A millennium-long tree-ring-width chronology from the middle Qilian Mountains in northwestern China has been used to reconstruct annual precipitation variation (from the prior August to current July) since AD 775. The reconstruction explains 37.8% of variance of the observed data. Based on the mean and standard deviation of the reconstructed series, several prolonged severe dry and wet periods were indentified: drought spells in AD 1144-1154 (11 years) and 1925-1932 (8 years) and wet spells in AD 985-999 (15 years), 1089-1097 (9 years) and 1979-1991 (12 years). Both multi-taper spectral analysis (MTM) and wavelet analysis suggest that periods of the reconstructed precipitation are consistent with those associated with the Asian Summer Monsoon and perhaps solar activity. Copyright. (C) 2010 Royal Meteorological Society