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Complex Adaptive Modelling Climate Change Health Impacts in Malawi
项目编号360G-Wellcome-216080_Z_19_Z
Prof James Orbinski
项目主持机构York University (Canada)
开始日期2020-01-15
结束日期2023-01-15
英文摘要Malawi is among the most climate change affected countries in the world, and its Chilwa Basin among the most severely affectedregions in the country. Extreme weather events including floods and droughtarecoupled withhuman-induced deforestation. Theseare causally associated with population displacement, disruption in health services, increases in specific infectious diseases and in acute and chronic undernutrition.Working in consultation with identified operational partners, we will apply Complex Adaptive Systems Theory to develop a computer-based simulationof the following five subsystems and their interactions in the Chilwa Basin:1) ecological services, 2) extreme weather, 3) infectious diseases, 4) food security, and 5) clinical public health & disaster riskmanagement. Our target heath impacts are (A) infectious diseases: malaria, cholera, schistosomiasis,acute diarrheal disease; (B) food security outcomes: protein energy malnutrition,growth stunting in children, and (C) potable water, sanitation and hygiene. Incooperation with operational partners, we will (a) select or design appropriate indicators, (b) design, iterate and refine the accuracyof the model, (b) create a monitoring and evaluationdashboard, and (c) develop a scenario planning toolbox for selecting,monitoring and evaluating clinical and population healthtreatment, prevention and ecological adaptation interventions.
学科分类14 - 医学科学
资助机构UK-WellcomeTrust
项目经费388890
项目类型Climate Change and Health Review Committee
国家UK
语种英语
文献类型项目
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/191337
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Prof James Orbinski.Complex Adaptive Modelling Climate Change Health Impacts in Malawi.2020.
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