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DOI | 10.1039/c8ee00111a |
The future of solar fuels: When could they become competitive? | |
Detz R.J.; Reek J.N.H.; Van Der Zwaan B.C.C. | |
发表日期 | 2018 |
ISSN | 17545692 |
起始页码 | 1653 |
结束页码 | 1669 |
卷号 | 11期号:7 |
英文摘要 | Solar energy driven processes with H2O and CO2 as basic feedstocks can produce "solar fuels" that could substitute their fossil based counterparts. This article summarizes the main findings of a techno-economic analysis of systems that can generate different types of fuels with renewable energy as starting point. These "renewable fuels" could potentially play a key role in future energy systems, both as a storage medium in the power sector and as an energy carrier in e.g. the transport sector, or deliver fundamental building blocks for the chemical industry. We determine whether, how, and when renewable fuels might become competitive alternatives for fossil fuels. The technologies required to produce renewable fuels are analyzed by the application of learning curves associated with individual system components. We thereby make projections for possible decreases in investment costs and reductions in fuel production costs. In an optimistic scenario we find that competitivity could be reached between 2025 and 2048 for all renewable energy production pathways that we investigate, for hydrogen, syngas, methanol, and diesel. Two techniques yield break-even costs before 2050 even in a conservative base case scenario: H2 production through electrolysis and diesel production by Fischer-Tropsch synthesis. Both processes use solid oxide electrolysis, which profits from rapid cost reductions and high efficiency. © 2018 The Royal Society of Chemistry. |
英文关键词 | Chemical industry; Cost reduction; Economic analysis; Electrolysis; Fischer-Tropsch synthesis; Fossil fuels; Fuel storage; Investments; Solar energy; Diesel production; Fundamental building blocks; Individual systems; Investment costs; Renewable energies; Renewable fuels; Techno- economic analysis; Transport sectors; Hydrogen production; alternative energy; alternative fuel; competitiveness; cost analysis; economic analysis; efficiency measurement; electricity industry; electrokinesis; energy efficiency; fossil fuel; solar power |
语种 | 英语 |
来源期刊 | Energy & Environmental Science |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/190203 |
作者单位 | Energy Research Centre of the Netherlands (ECN) Part of TNO, Energy Transition Studies, Radarweg 60, Amsterdam, 1043 NT, Netherlands; University of Amsterdam, Van't Hoff Institute for Molecular Sciences, Science Park 904, Amsterdam, 1098 XH, Netherlands; Johns Hopkins University, School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), Bologna, Italy |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Detz R.J.,Reek J.N.H.,Van Der Zwaan B.C.C.. The future of solar fuels: When could they become competitive?[J],2018,11(7). |
APA | Detz R.J.,Reek J.N.H.,&Van Der Zwaan B.C.C..(2018).The future of solar fuels: When could they become competitive?.Energy & Environmental Science,11(7). |
MLA | Detz R.J.,et al."The future of solar fuels: When could they become competitive?".Energy & Environmental Science 11.7(2018). |
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