气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction of Weather to Climate with Application to Tropical Cyclones

CCPortal

DOI	10.1029/2018JD029375
	Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction of Weather to Climate with Application to Tropical Cyclones
	Robertson A.W.; Vitart F.; Camargo S.J.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	2169897X
卷号	125 期号:6
英文摘要	Demands are growing rapidly in the operational prediction and applications communities for forecasts that fill the gap between daily weather forecasts and seasonal climate outlooks. Recent scientific advances have identified sources of predictability on this time range, and modeling advances are leading to better forecasts. However, much remains to be done to further improve their skill and to develop new climate service forecast products to help countries and sectorial decision makers better manage weather risks and extremes and to adapt to climate change. This paper reviews the history and describes the main challenges and opportunities for the modeling and forecast-applications communities to improve subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecasts and products, along with current developments catalyzed by the World Weather Research Programme and World Climate Research Programme's joint Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project. The case of tropical cyclones is highlighted as an illustrative example of the points discussed. ©2020. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
语种	英语
来源期刊	Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/186083
作者单位	International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI), Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States; European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Reading, United Kingdom; Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Robertson A.W.,Vitart F.,Camargo S.J.. Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction of Weather to Climate with Application to Tropical Cyclones[J],2020,125(6).
APA	Robertson A.W.,Vitart F.,&Camargo S.J..(2020).Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction of Weather to Climate with Application to Tropical Cyclones.Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres,125(6).
MLA	Robertson A.W.,et al."Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction of Weather to Climate with Application to Tropical Cyclones".Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 125.6(2020).