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DOI10.1029/2020JD033031
The Performance of CMIP6 Versus CMIP5 in Simulating Temperature Extremes Over the Global Land Surface
Fan X.; Miao C.; Duan Q.; Shen C.; Wu Y.
发表日期2020
ISSN2169897X
卷号125期号:18
英文摘要Simulations from the models participating in the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), which represent the most recent generation of climate models, are now available. Understanding the performance of these models in simulating historical climate extremes can provide a basis for producing reliable future climate projections. Here, we assess the simulation of 16 indices of temperature extremes defined by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices using results from 24 CMIP6 models as compared with results from CMIP5. Comparisons with observations and reanalyses indicate that the CMIP6 models could capture the spatial patterns and temporal variations of the observed temperature extremes well for some indices, although less well for others. Based on spatial and temporal skill scores, CMIP6 ensemble means were more skillful in simulating absolute and threshold indices of extreme temperature than CMIP5 ensemble means were, but the performances of both the CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensemble means in simulating the spatial patterns for duration and percentile indices were relatively unsatisfactory (spatial skill scores S < 0.3). Furthermore, our results suggest that there have been improvements in spatial pattern skill scores in some individual CMIP6 models relative to CMIP5 model scores for summer days, tropical nights, cold spell duration, and diurnal temperature range. ©2020. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
英文关键词CMIP6; global land; performance; temperature extremes
语种英语
来源期刊Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/185761
作者单位State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China; College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
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Fan X.,Miao C.,Duan Q.,et al. The Performance of CMIP6 Versus CMIP5 in Simulating Temperature Extremes Over the Global Land Surface[J],2020,125(18).
APA Fan X.,Miao C.,Duan Q.,Shen C.,&Wu Y..(2020).The Performance of CMIP6 Versus CMIP5 in Simulating Temperature Extremes Over the Global Land Surface.Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres,125(18).
MLA Fan X.,et al."The Performance of CMIP6 Versus CMIP5 in Simulating Temperature Extremes Over the Global Land Surface".Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 125.18(2020).
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