气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Assessment of the European Climate Projections as Simulated by the Large EURO-CORDEX Regional and Global Climate Model Ensemble

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DOI	10.1029/2019JD032356
	Assessment of the European Climate Projections as Simulated by the Large EURO-CORDEX Regional and Global Climate Model Ensemble
	Coppola E.; Nogherotto R.; Ciarlo' J.M.; Giorgi F.; van Meijgaard E.; Kadygrov N.; Iles C.; Corre L.; Sandstad M.; Somot S.; Nabat P.; Vautard R.; Levavasseur G.; Schwingshackl C.; Sillmann J.; Kjellström E.; Nikulin G.; Aalbers E.; Lenderink G.; Christensen O.B.; Boberg F.; Sørland S.L.; Demory M.-E.; Bülow K.; Teichmann C.; Warrach-Sagi K.; Wulfmeyer V.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	2169897X
卷号	126 期号:4
英文摘要	This paper analyzes the ensemble of regional climate model (RCM) projections for Europe completed within the EURO-CORDEX project. Projections are available for the two greenhouse gas concentration scenarios RCP2.6 (22 members) and RCP8.5 (55 members) at 0.11° resolution from 11 RCMs driven by eight global climate models (GCMs). The RCM ensemble results are compared with the driving CMIP5 global models but also with a subset of available last generation CMIP6 projections. Maximum warming is projected by all ensembles in Northern Europe in winter, along with a maximum precipitation increase there; in summer, maximum warming occurs in the Mediterranean and Southern European regions associated with a maximum precipitation decrease. The CMIP6 ensemble shows the largest signals, both for temperature and precipitation, along with the largest inter-model spread. There is a high model consensus across the ensembles on an increase of extreme precipitation and drought frequency in the Mediterranean region. Extreme temperature indices show an increase of heat extremes and a decrease of cold extremes, with CMIP6 showing the highest values and EURO-CORDEX the finest spatial details. This data set of unprecedented size and quality will provide the basis for impact assessment and climate service activities for the European region. © 2020. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
英文关键词	climate impact indices; CMIP5; CMIP6; EURO-CORDEX; global model; regional climate modeling
语种	英语
来源期刊	Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/185451
作者单位	The Abdus Salam International Center for Theoretical Physic (ICTP), Trieste, Italy; Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, Netherlands; Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace (IPSL), Gif sur Yvette, France; Meteo-France, Toulouse, France; Center for International Climate Research (CICERO), Oslo, Norway; CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France, Toulouse, France; Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden; Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark; Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zürich, Switzerland; Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Hamburg, Germany; Institute of Physics and Meteorology, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Coppola E.,Nogherotto R.,Ciarlo' J.M.,et al. Assessment of the European Climate Projections as Simulated by the Large EURO-CORDEX Regional and Global Climate Model Ensemble[J],2021,126(4).
APA	Coppola E..,Nogherotto R..,Ciarlo' J.M..,Giorgi F..,van Meijgaard E..,...&Wulfmeyer V..(2021).Assessment of the European Climate Projections as Simulated by the Large EURO-CORDEX Regional and Global Climate Model Ensemble.Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres,126(4).
MLA	Coppola E.,et al."Assessment of the European Climate Projections as Simulated by the Large EURO-CORDEX Regional and Global Climate Model Ensemble".Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 126.4(2021).