CCPortal
DOI10.1029/2020JD034154
Variability of the Turkana Low-Level Jet in Reanalysis and Models: Implications for Rainfall
King J.A.; Engelstaedter S.; Washington R.; Munday C.
发表日期2021
ISSN2169897X
卷号126期号:10
英文摘要The complex topography of East Africa poses challenges for accurate modeling of regional climate. The Turkana Channel in northwestern Kenya is an important feature because of a persistent low-level jet (LLJ) that blows through it, which has complex interactions with local and regional rainfall. We establish the annual cycle and interannual variability of the LLJ in the ERA5, MERRA-2, and JRA-55 reanalyses. The jet is strongest during wet seasons in the surrounding region. Results suggest a statistically significant weakening of the LLJ over the last 30–40 years in two out of the three reanalyses. We propose an explanation based on the jet's relationship with regional warming patterns and zonal surface pressure gradients, which link the jet to larger-scale climate dynamics including the Walker Circulation. If these changes continue in the future, there may be significant implications for rainfall including increases in northwest Kenya and decreases further inland. However, the global models used to produce climate projections vary in their simulations of the LLJ in part because they represented topography. Consequently, it is not possible to assess how future LLJ changes will affect regional climate using CMIP5 models alone. Differences between the reanalyses preclude their direct use for model evaluation. Improving the processes by which topographical observations are mapped onto model grids could lead to improvements in the simulation of the East African climate. A field campaign to measure the LLJ directly could resolve uncertainties in the literature, help constrain reanalyses, and determine which models have the most realistic LLJ representation. © 2021. The Authors.
英文关键词climate; CMIP5; East Africa; low-level jets; rainfall; reanalysis
语种英语
来源期刊Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/185211
作者单位School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
King J.A.,Engelstaedter S.,Washington R.,et al. Variability of the Turkana Low-Level Jet in Reanalysis and Models: Implications for Rainfall[J],2021,126(10).
APA King J.A.,Engelstaedter S.,Washington R.,&Munday C..(2021).Variability of the Turkana Low-Level Jet in Reanalysis and Models: Implications for Rainfall.Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres,126(10).
MLA King J.A.,et al."Variability of the Turkana Low-Level Jet in Reanalysis and Models: Implications for Rainfall".Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 126.10(2021).
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[King J.A.]的文章
[Engelstaedter S.]的文章
[Washington R.]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[King J.A.]的文章
[Engelstaedter S.]的文章
[Washington R.]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[King J.A.]的文章
[Engelstaedter S.]的文章
[Washington R.]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。