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DOI10.1080/14693062.2019.1581048
What are the implications of the Paris Agreement for inequality?
Zimm C.; Nakicenovic N.
发表日期2020
ISSN1469-3062
卷号20期号:4
英文摘要Climate change is a major planetary challenge. Its consequences threaten the provision of Earth-system services and sustainable development. The impacts and the capacities to adapt vary across countries and different incomes, as do the historical and current emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) and thus the responsibility for anthropogenic climate change. This has generated a complex debate about the inequities inherent in the climate challenge. This paper analyses the potential implications of the full implementation of the first round of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) of the Paris Agreement for countries’ per capita GHG emissions and the related inequality measures of the Gini coefficient and Lorenz curve. The distribution of annual and cumulative GHG emissions per capita for selected years and periods pre- and post-Paris of two NDC scenarios are assessed to derive implications for desired increases in ambition levels. The results show that the NDCs, while not meeting the Paris targets to limit temperature increase if levels of ambition remain the same after 2030, lead towards a more equitable future in terms of GHG emissions. Key policy insights The NDCs lead to decreases in GHG emissions inequality (lower Gini coefficients) across countries compared to 1990. The rate of decrease in inequality 2016–2030 slows down compared to 1990–2015. Conditional pledges in the NDCs lead to smaller reductions in GHG emissions inequality than unconditional pledges. This highlights tension between the pursuit of decreasing GHG emissions inequality and the ambition to lower overall global GHG emissions. © 2019, © 2019 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
英文关键词climate equity; Gini coefficient; Lorenz curves; Nationally determined contributions; Paris Agreement; per capita GHG emissions
来源期刊CLIMATE POLICY
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/183757
作者单位Transitions to New Technologies Program (TNT), Laxenburg, Austria
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Zimm C.,Nakicenovic N.. What are the implications of the Paris Agreement for inequality?[J],2020,20(4).
APA Zimm C.,&Nakicenovic N..(2020).What are the implications of the Paris Agreement for inequality?.CLIMATE POLICY,20(4).
MLA Zimm C.,et al."What are the implications of the Paris Agreement for inequality?".CLIMATE POLICY 20.4(2020).
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