气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Correcting course: the emission reduction potential of international cooperative initiatives

CCPortal

DOI	10.1080/14693062.2020.1806021
	Correcting course: the emission reduction potential of international cooperative initiatives
	Lui S.; Kuramochi T.; Smit S.; Roelfsema M.; Hsu A.; Weinfurter A.; Chan S.; Hale T.; Fekete H.; Lütkehermöller K.; Jose de Villafranca Casas M.; Nascimento L.; Sterl S.; Höhne N.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	1469-3062
卷号	21 期号:2
英文摘要	This article quantifies the aggregate potential of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reductions in 2030 from the assumed full implementation of major international cooperative initiatives (ICIs). To this end, a methodology is proposed to aggregate emission reduction goals of the most significant and potentially impactful global initiatives. We identified the extent to which reductions are additional to national policies, assuming these actions do not displace climate actions elsewhere, and accounted for overlap ranges between the ICIs. The analysis was conducted for 17 initiatives, selected from an original list of over 300 with a series of testing criteria, across eight sectors and ten major emitting economies. These initiatives include cities, regions, businesses, and other subnational and non-state actors, cooperating with each other and sometimes working in partnership with national governments or other international organizations. Our analysis shows that the combined achievement of initiatives’ reduction goals could reduce global emissions in 2030 by 18–21 GtCO2e/year in addition to current national policies (total of 60–63 GtCO2e/year), down to 39–44 GtCO2e/year. If delivered fully, reductions from these 17 initiatives would help move the global emissions trajectory within the range of a 2°C-consistent emission pathway by 2030, although a significant gap would remain to reduce emissions to a 1.5°C-consistent pathway. Key policy insights We propose a transparent and robust methodology to aggregate GHG mitigation potential of ICIs, accounting for overlaps between ICIs. If major initiatives meet their goals and do not change the course of other existing climate actions, they could make large contributions by 2030 towards global efforts to stay within the range of a below 2°C-consistent emission pathway by 2030. The full suite of existing initiatives beyond those in this analysis could further increase ambition towards achieving the Paris Agreement’s temperature goals. Cities and regions, businesses and forestry initiatives account for significantly more than half of all possible emission reductions from ICIs; implementation of their goals should be a key policy focus. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
英文关键词	climate change mitigation; GHG reductions; international cooperation; mitigation scenarios; Non-state actors
来源期刊	CLIMATE POLICY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/183695
作者单位	NewClimate Institute, Cologne, Germany; Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht, Netherlands; PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, the Hague, Netherlands; Yale-NUS College, Singapore; German Development Institute/Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE), Bonn, Germany; Blavatnik School of Government, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom; Environmental Systems Analysis Group, Wageningen University and Research Centre, Wageningen, Netherlands; B-Climate Group, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium; Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lui S.,Kuramochi T.,Smit S.,et al. Correcting course: the emission reduction potential of international cooperative initiatives[J],2021,21(2).
APA	Lui S..,Kuramochi T..,Smit S..,Roelfsema M..,Hsu A..,...&Höhne N..(2021).Correcting course: the emission reduction potential of international cooperative initiatives.CLIMATE POLICY,21(2).
MLA	Lui S.,et al."Correcting course: the emission reduction potential of international cooperative initiatives".CLIMATE POLICY 21.2(2021).