气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The impact of black carbon emissions from projected Arctic shipping on regional ice transport

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DOI	10.1007/s00382-021-05814-9
	The impact of black carbon emissions from projected Arctic shipping on regional ice transport
	Li X.; Lynch A.H.; Bailey D.A.; Stephenson S.R.; Veland S.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0930-7575
起始页码	65
结束页码	85
英文摘要	The direct and indirect effects of global emissions of black carbon (BC) on the evolution of Arctic climate has been well documented. The significance of within-Arctic emissions of BC is less certain. In light of this, an ensemble of scenarios are developed that simulate the hypothetical diversion of 75% of current and projected shipping traffic from the Suez Canal to the Northern Sea Route (NSR). This experiment shows that BC from ships results in a small change in climate forcing that does not influence the Arctic-wide trajectory of change. However, the shift in forcing from the Suez route to the NSR not only influences regional evolution of sea ice cover, but also results in regional feedbacks that in some locations amplify (e.g. Greenland Sea) and in other locations damp (e.g. Labrador Sea) the sea ice retreat under anthropogenic climate change. The primary mechanism underlying these regional effects is a shift in circulation rather than direct thermodynamic forcing. The most significant impacts are distal from the emissions sources, which is likely to have policy implications as the expansion of industrial and transportation activities into the Arctic is considered. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.
英文关键词	Aerosols and particles; Arctic region; Climate change and variability; Earth system modeling; Ice
来源期刊	Climate Dynamics
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/183453
作者单位	Institute at Brown for Environment and Society, Brown University, Providence, RI, United States; Department of Earth, Environmental and Planetary Sciences, Brown University, Providence, RI, United States; Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States; RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, United States; Department of Environment, Nordland Research Institute, PO Box 1490, Bodø, 8049, Norway
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li X.,Lynch A.H.,Bailey D.A.,et al. The impact of black carbon emissions from projected Arctic shipping on regional ice transport[J],2021.
APA	Li X.,Lynch A.H.,Bailey D.A.,Stephenson S.R.,&Veland S..(2021).The impact of black carbon emissions from projected Arctic shipping on regional ice transport.Climate Dynamics.
MLA	Li X.,et al."The impact of black carbon emissions from projected Arctic shipping on regional ice transport".Climate Dynamics (2021).