气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Cascading climate change impacts and implications

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.crm.2020.100234
	Cascading climate change impacts and implications
	Lawrence J.; Blackett P.; Cradock-Henry N.A.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	2212-0963
起始页码	2595
卷号	29
英文摘要	Climate change is expected to have adverse impacts and implications for a range of human-environment systems. However, our understanding of the extent to which these impacts may propagate as cascades, compounding to form multiple impacts across sectors, is limited. Cascades result from interdependencies between systems and sub-systems of coupled natural and socio-economic systems in response to changes and feedback loops. The combined effects of interacting stressors may affect the ability of individuals, governments, and the private sector to adapt in time, before widespread damage occurs. We discuss the origins of cascading impacts thinking and present the results of an investigation of cascading impacts and implications in New Zealand. A participatory and collaborative approach was used through workshops and semi-structured interviews with sector informants, including engineers, local government staff, and financial risk managers and analysts from the financial services sectors. Qualitative data collection was combined with network and systems analysis to examine increased frequency of high-intensity rainfall events, sea-level rise and drought, across urban water infrastructure and the financial services, and the implications of cascading climate change impacts for governance. Results demonstrate that closer consideration of the combined effects of linked stressors can facilitate a better understanding of the scope and scale of climate change impacts. By using critical systems thinking in characterising and assessing how climate change impacts cascade across domains, we show the implications of cascades for their governance and reveal where climate change adaptation interventions might be focused. The research methods and insights into cascades provide a conceptual and practical basis for further development, which can inform the design of additional studies in other domains and jurisdictions. © 2020 The Author(s)
英文关键词	Cascading impacts; Financial sector; Systems dynamics; Urban systems; Water services
来源期刊	Climate Risk Management
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/183179
作者单位	Climate Change Research Institute, Victoria University of Wellington, PO Box 600, Wellington, 6140, New Zealand; National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, PO Box 11115, Hillcrest, Hamilton, 3251, New Zealand; Manaaki Whenua – Landcare Research, Lincoln, New Zealand
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lawrence J.,Blackett P.,Cradock-Henry N.A.. Cascading climate change impacts and implications[J],2020,29.
APA	Lawrence J.,Blackett P.,&Cradock-Henry N.A..(2020).Cascading climate change impacts and implications.Climate Risk Management,29.
MLA	Lawrence J.,et al."Cascading climate change impacts and implications".Climate Risk Management 29(2020).