气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Rumor has it: The role of social ties and misinformation in evacuation to nearby shelters after disaster

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.crm.2021.100320
	Rumor has it: The role of social ties and misinformation in evacuation to nearby shelters after disaster
	Fraser T.; Morikawa L.; Aldrich D.P.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	2212-0963
起始页码	67
结束页码	77
卷号	33
英文摘要	When crisis strikes, why do some communities utilize evacuation shelters more than others? This mixed methods study draws on a new dataset of almost-daily tallies of evacuees at 660 local shelters following Japan's 2018 Eastern Iburi Earthquake in Hokkaido to create a large-N time-series cross sectional (TSCS) dataset of local, short-distance evacuation. We pair time-series cross-sectional data models with qualitative comparative analysis (QCA) of nine affected municipalities to examine why some shelters see higher evacuation rates than others. While past studies have used Facebook user data, post-hoc surveys, or ad-hoc roadside interviews to measure evacuation, this study uses meticulously recorded shelter attendance data to draw inferences about evacuation behavior. Controlling for types of shelters, damage levels, infrastructure quality, social vulnerability, governance capacity, and community resources, we find that in affected communities, stronger bridging social ties, especially when aided by linking ties, motivate greater evacuation to shelters. In unaffected communities, stronger bonding and bridging ties encourage potentially unnecessary evacuation, helping spread rumors during blackouts. These results highlight the necessity of clear, transparent communication with the public, and fostering trust in government during crises. © 2021 The Author(s)
英文关键词	Evacuation; Japan; Mixed methods; QCA; Shelters; Social capital; TSCS
来源期刊	Climate Risk Management
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/183099
作者单位	Political Science Department, Northeastern University, 960A Renaissance Park, 360 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA 02115-5000, United States; College of Social Sciences and Humanities, Northeastern University, Address: Security & Resilience Program, 215H Renaissance Park, 360 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA 02115, United States; Professor of Political Science, Public Policy and Urban Affairs and Director of Security and Resilience Program, Northeastern University, Dept. of Political Science, 215H Renaissance Park, 360 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA 02115, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Fraser T.,Morikawa L.,Aldrich D.P.. Rumor has it: The role of social ties and misinformation in evacuation to nearby shelters after disaster[J],2021,33.
APA	Fraser T.,Morikawa L.,&Aldrich D.P..(2021).Rumor has it: The role of social ties and misinformation in evacuation to nearby shelters after disaster.Climate Risk Management,33.
MLA	Fraser T.,et al."Rumor has it: The role of social ties and misinformation in evacuation to nearby shelters after disaster".Climate Risk Management 33(2021).