气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Reductions in 2020 US life expectancy due to COVID-19 and the disproportionate impact on the Black and Latino populations

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DOI	10.1073/pnas.2014746118
	Reductions in 2020 US life expectancy due to COVID-19 and the disproportionate impact on the Black and Latino populations
	Andrasfay T.; Goldman N.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	00278424
卷号	118 期号:5
英文摘要	COVID-19 has resulted in a staggering death toll in the United States: over 215,000 by mid-October 2020, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Black and Latino Americans have experienced a disproportionate burden of COVID-19 morbidity and mortality, reflecting persistent structural inequalities that increase risk of exposure to COVID-19 and mortality risk for those infected. We estimate life expectancy at birth and at age 65 y for 2020, for the total US population and by race and ethnicity, using four scenarios of deaths—one in which the COVID-19 pandemic had not occurred and three including COVID-19 mortality projections produced by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Our medium estimate indicates a reduction in US life expectancy at birth of 1.13 y to 77.48 y, lower than any year since 2003. We also project a 0.87-y reduction in life expectancy at age 65 y. The Black and Latino populations are estimated to experience declines in life expectancy at birth of 2.10 and 3.05 y, respectively, both of which are several times the 0.68-y reduction for Whites. These projections imply an increase of nearly 40% in the Black−White life expectancy gap, from 3.6 y to over 5 y, thereby eliminating progress made in reducing this differential since 2006. Latinos, who have consistently experienced lower mortality than Whites (a phenomenon known as the Latino or Hispanic paradox), would see their more than 3-y survival advantage reduced to less than 1 y. © 2021 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
英文关键词	COVID-19; Disparities; Life expectancy; Mortality; Race and ethnicity
语种	英语
scopus关键词	adolescent; adult; African American; aged; aging; Article; child; coronavirus disease 2019; Hispanic; human; life expectancy; mortality rate; pandemic; priority journal; race difference; United States; African American; Caucasian; epidemiology; ethnology; forecasting; health disparity; Hispanic; life expectancy; African Americans; Aged; COVID-19; European Continental Ancestry Group; Forecasting; Health Status Disparities; Hispanic Americans; Humans; Life Expectancy; Pandemics; United States
来源期刊	Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/180840
作者单位	Leonard Davis School of Gerontology, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089, United States; Office of Population Research, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Andrasfay T.,Goldman N.. Reductions in 2020 US life expectancy due to COVID-19 and the disproportionate impact on the Black and Latino populations[J],2021,118(5).
APA	Andrasfay T.,&Goldman N..(2021).Reductions in 2020 US life expectancy due to COVID-19 and the disproportionate impact on the Black and Latino populations.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,118(5).
MLA	Andrasfay T.,et al."Reductions in 2020 US life expectancy due to COVID-19 and the disproportionate impact on the Black and Latino populations".Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 118.5(2021).