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DOI | 10.1073/pnas.2011204118 |
Global inequities and political borders challenge nature conservation under climate change | |
Titley M.A.; Butchart S.H.M.; Jones V.R.; Whittingham M.J.; Willis S.G. | |
发表日期 | 2021 |
ISSN | 00278424 |
卷号 | 118期号:7 |
英文摘要 | Underlying sociopolitical factors have emerged as important determinants of wildlife population trends and the effectiveness of conservation action. Despite mounting research into the impacts of climate change on nature, there has been little consideration of the human context in which these impacts occur, particularly at the global scale. We investigate this in two ways. First, by modeling the climatic niches of terrestrial mammals and birds globally, we show that projected species loss under climate change is greatest in countries with weaker governance and lower Gross Domestic Product, with loss of mammal species projected to be greater in countries with lower CO2 emissions. Therefore, climate change impacts on species may be disproportionately significant in countries with lower capacity for effective conservation and lower greenhouse gas emissions, raising important questions of international justice. Second, we consider the redistribution of species in the context of political boundaries since the global importance of transboundary conservation under climate change is poorly understood. Under a high-emissions scenario, we find that 35% of mammals and 29% of birds are projected to have over half of their 2070 climatic niche in countries in which they are not currently found. We map these transboundary range shifts globally, identifying borders across which international coordination might most benefit conservation and where physical border barriers, such as walls and fences, may be an overlooked obstacle to climate adaptation. Our work highlights the importance of sociopolitical context and the utility of a supranational perspective for 21st century nature conservation. © 2021 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | Climate change | biodiversity | transboundary | conservation | |
语种 | 英语 |
来源期刊 | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/180636 |
作者单位 | Department of Biosciences, Durham University, Durham, DH1 3LE, United Kingdom; BirdLife International, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, United Kingdom; Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 3EJ, United Kingdom; School of Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle, NE1 7RU, United Kingdom |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Titley M.A.,Butchart S.H.M.,Jones V.R.,et al. Global inequities and political borders challenge nature conservation under climate change[J],2021,118(7). |
APA | Titley M.A.,Butchart S.H.M.,Jones V.R.,Whittingham M.J.,&Willis S.G..(2021).Global inequities and political borders challenge nature conservation under climate change.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,118(7). |
MLA | Titley M.A.,et al."Global inequities and political borders challenge nature conservation under climate change".Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 118.7(2021). |
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