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DOI10.1073/PNAS.2019706118
Evaluating the effects of shelter-in-place policies during the COVID-19 pandemic
Berry C.R.; Fowler A.; Glazer T.; Handel-Meyer S.; MacMillen A.
发表日期2021
ISSN00278424
卷号118期号:15
英文摘要We estimate the effects of shelter-in-place (SIP) orders during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. We do not find detectable effects of these policies on disease spread or deaths. We find small but measurable effects on mobility that dissipate over time. And we find small, delayed effects on unemployment. We conduct additional analyses that separately assess the effects of expanding versus withdrawing SIP orders and test whether there are spillover effects in other states. Our results are consistent with prior studies showing that SIP orders have accounted for a relatively small share of the mobility trends and economic disruptions associated with the pandemic. We reanalyze two prior studies purporting to show that SIP orders caused large reductions in disease prevalence, and show that those results are not reliable. Our results do not imply that social distancing behavior by individuals, as distinct from SIP policy, is ineffective. © 2021 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
英文关键词COVID-19; Disease spread; Government policy; Mobility; Shelter-in-place policies
语种英语
scopus关键词Article; coronavirus disease 2019; disease transmission; economic aspect; human; infection control; mortality; pandemic; prevalence; priority journal; public policy; shelter in place; social distancing; travel; unemployment; economics; emergency shelter; epidemiology; isolation and purification; pandemic; policy; prevention and control; time factor; COVID-19; Disease Transmission, Infectious; Emergency Shelter; Humans; Pandemics; Physical Distancing; Policy; Prevalence; SARS-CoV-2; Time Factors; Unemployment
来源期刊Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/179946
作者单位Harris School of Public Policy, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637, United States
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GB/T 7714
Berry C.R.,Fowler A.,Glazer T.,et al. Evaluating the effects of shelter-in-place policies during the COVID-19 pandemic[J],2021,118(15).
APA Berry C.R.,Fowler A.,Glazer T.,Handel-Meyer S.,&MacMillen A..(2021).Evaluating the effects of shelter-in-place policies during the COVID-19 pandemic.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,118(15).
MLA Berry C.R.,et al."Evaluating the effects of shelter-in-place policies during the COVID-19 pandemic".Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 118.15(2021).
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