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DOI | 10.1073/PNAS.2019706118 |
Evaluating the effects of shelter-in-place policies during the COVID-19 pandemic | |
Berry C.R.; Fowler A.; Glazer T.; Handel-Meyer S.; MacMillen A. | |
发表日期 | 2021 |
ISSN | 00278424 |
卷号 | 118期号:15 |
英文摘要 | We estimate the effects of shelter-in-place (SIP) orders during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. We do not find detectable effects of these policies on disease spread or deaths. We find small but measurable effects on mobility that dissipate over time. And we find small, delayed effects on unemployment. We conduct additional analyses that separately assess the effects of expanding versus withdrawing SIP orders and test whether there are spillover effects in other states. Our results are consistent with prior studies showing that SIP orders have accounted for a relatively small share of the mobility trends and economic disruptions associated with the pandemic. We reanalyze two prior studies purporting to show that SIP orders caused large reductions in disease prevalence, and show that those results are not reliable. Our results do not imply that social distancing behavior by individuals, as distinct from SIP policy, is ineffective. © 2021 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | COVID-19; Disease spread; Government policy; Mobility; Shelter-in-place policies |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Article; coronavirus disease 2019; disease transmission; economic aspect; human; infection control; mortality; pandemic; prevalence; priority journal; public policy; shelter in place; social distancing; travel; unemployment; economics; emergency shelter; epidemiology; isolation and purification; pandemic; policy; prevention and control; time factor; COVID-19; Disease Transmission, Infectious; Emergency Shelter; Humans; Pandemics; Physical Distancing; Policy; Prevalence; SARS-CoV-2; Time Factors; Unemployment |
来源期刊 | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/179946 |
作者单位 | Harris School of Public Policy, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Berry C.R.,Fowler A.,Glazer T.,et al. Evaluating the effects of shelter-in-place policies during the COVID-19 pandemic[J],2021,118(15). |
APA | Berry C.R.,Fowler A.,Glazer T.,Handel-Meyer S.,&MacMillen A..(2021).Evaluating the effects of shelter-in-place policies during the COVID-19 pandemic.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,118(15). |
MLA | Berry C.R.,et al."Evaluating the effects of shelter-in-place policies during the COVID-19 pandemic".Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 118.15(2021). |
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