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DOI10.1073/pnas.2018211118
The contributions of individual countries and regions to the global radiative forcing
Fu B.; Li B.; Gasser T.; Tao S.; Ciais P.; Piao S.; Balkanski Y.; Li W.; Yin T.; Han L.; Han Y.; Peng S.; Xu J.
发表日期2021
ISSN00278424
卷号118期号:15
英文摘要Knowing the historical relative contribution of greenhouse gases (GHGs) and short-lived climate forcers (SLCFs) to global radiative forcing (RF) at the regional level can help understand how future GHGs emission reductions and associated or independent reductions in SLCFs will affect the ultimate purpose of the Paris Agreement. In this study, we use a compact Earth system model to quantify the global RF and attribute global RF to individual countries and regions. As our evaluation, the United States, the first 15 European Union members, and China are the top three contributors, accounting for 21.9 ± 3.1%, 13.7 ± 1.6%, and 8.6 ± 7.0% of global RF in 2014, respectively. We also find a contrast between developed countries where GHGs dominate the RF and developing countries where SLCFs including aerosols and ozone are more dominant. In developing countries, negative RF caused by aerosols largely masks the positive RF from GHGs. As developing countries take measures to improve the air quality, their negative contributions from aerosols will likely be reduced in the future, which will in turn enhance global warming. This underlines the importance of reducing GHG emissions in parallel to avoid any detrimental consequences from air quality policies. © 2021 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
英文关键词Attribution; Climate change; Radiative forcing; Regional contributions
语种英语
来源期刊Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/179875
作者单位Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, 2361, Austria; Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Comissariat à l'Energie Atomique et aux Energies Alternatives, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Université de Versailles St Quentin en Yvelines, Gif-sur-Yvette, 91191, France; Key Laboratory of Alpine Ecology, Center for Excellence in Tibetan Earth Science, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100864, China
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Fu B.,Li B.,Gasser T.,et al. The contributions of individual countries and regions to the global radiative forcing[J],2021,118(15).
APA Fu B..,Li B..,Gasser T..,Tao S..,Ciais P..,...&Xu J..(2021).The contributions of individual countries and regions to the global radiative forcing.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,118(15).
MLA Fu B.,et al."The contributions of individual countries and regions to the global radiative forcing".Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 118.15(2021).
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