气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Increasing risk of glacial lake outburst floods from future Third Pole deglaciation

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DOI	10.1038/s41558-021-01028-3
	Increasing risk of glacial lake outburst floods from future Third Pole deglaciation
	Zheng G.; Allen S.K.; Bao A.; Ballesteros-Cánovas J.A.; Huss M.; Zhang G.; Li J.; Yuan Y.; Jiang L.; Yu T.; Chen W.; Stoffel M.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	1758678X
英文摘要	Warming on Earth’s Third Pole is leading to rapid loss of ice and the formation and expansion of glacial lakes, posing a severe threat to downstream communities. Here we provide a holistic assessment of past evolution, present state and modelled future change of glacial lakes and related glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF) risk across the Third Pole. We show that the highest GLOF risk is at present centred in the eastern Himalaya, where the current risk level is at least twice that in adjacent regions. In the future, GLOF risk will potentially almost triple as a consequence of further lake development, and additional hotspots will emerge to the west, including within transboundary regions. With apparent increases in GLOF risk already anticipated by the mid-twenty-first century in some regions, the results highlight the urgent need for forward-looking, collaborative, long-term approaches to mitigate future impacts and enhance sustainable development across the Third Pole. ? 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/178792
作者单位	State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi, China; Climatic Change Impacts and Risks in the Anthropocene (C-CIA), Institute for Environmental Sciences, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; Department of Geography, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; China-Pakistan Joint Research Center on Earth Sciences, CAS-HEC, Islamabad, Pakistan; Dendrolab.ch, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland; Laboratory of Hydraulics, Hydrology and Glaciology (VAW), ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Swiss Federal Institute for Forest Snow and Landscape Research (WSL), Birmensdorf, Switzerland; Department of Geosciences, University of Fribourg, Fribourg, Switzerland; Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; CAS Center for Excellence in Tibetan Plateau Earth Sciences, Beijing, China; Department of F...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zheng G.,Allen S.K.,Bao A.,et al. Increasing risk of glacial lake outburst floods from future Third Pole deglaciation[J],2021.
APA	Zheng G..,Allen S.K..,Bao A..,Ballesteros-Cánovas J.A..,Huss M..,...&Stoffel M..(2021).Increasing risk of glacial lake outburst floods from future Third Pole deglaciation.Nature Climate Change.
MLA	Zheng G.,et al."Increasing risk of glacial lake outburst floods from future Third Pole deglaciation".Nature Climate Change (2021).